MLB 生涯累积WAR要达到100+难度很高,伤病会影响出赛时间,
若巅峰期不够长(退化太快)数据累积缓慢也无法达标。
提供一个比较熟悉的参考对照球员=> 退役不久的强棒Alber Pujols,
职业生涯22年WAR累积刚好跨过100+一些 (累积101.5)。
不考虑意外的伤病风险,单纯以目前的WAR累积速度及年纪(也参考年资),
(年龄超过35并且成绩已明显退化者,其实能够再增加的数据非常少)
新补充: 参考板友热心推文,新的推测(加括号)并上亮黄色。
资料来源:baseball-reference网站
个人主观
WAR 排序 年龄 列出现役前100 年资 推测达标机会
84.9 1 (31) Mike Trout 13 很高 (高)
79.0 2 (35) Clayton Kershaw 16 有机会 (很低)
78.0 3 (40) Justin Verlander 18
76.8 4 (39) Zack Greinke 20
73.0 5 (38) Max Scherzer 16 很低 (0%)
67.2 6 (40) Miguel Cabrera 21
64.8 7 (39) Joey Votto 17
60.8 8 (35) Paul Goldschmidt 13
59.0 9 (39) Cole Hamels 15
58.9 10 (30) Mookie Betts 10 高 (很低)
58.8 11 (37) Evan Longoria 16
53.0 12 (30) Manny Machado 12 (极低)
52.8 13 (32) Nolan Arenado 11
52.4 14 (33) Freddie Freeman 14
48.4 15 (36) Andrew McCutchen 15
46.7 16 (33) Jose Altuve 13
46.5 17 (37) Josh Donaldson 13
46.4 18 (34) Chris Sale 13
46.4 19 (41) Adam Wainwright 18
44.6 20 (35) Jacob deGrom 10
44.4 21 (33) Giancarlo Stanton 14
43.3 22 (30) José Ramírez 11
43.2 23 (30) Bryce Harper 12
42.3 24 (42) Nelson Cruz 19
40.5 25 (28) Carlos Correa 9 有机会 (0%)
40.5 26 (33) Anthony Rizzo 13
39.6 27 (33) Jason Heyward 14
39.4 28 (31) Aaron Judge 8 有机会 (0%)
38.8 29 (29) Francisco Lindor 9 有机会 (0%)
38.7 30 (34) Starling Marte 12
38.1 31 (31) Christian Yelich 11
37.7 32 (32) Marcus Semien 11
37.3 33 (33) Madison Bumgarner 15
36.9 34 (32) Gerrit Cole 11
36.8 35 (30) Xander Bogaerts 11
36.3 36 (37) Johnny Cueto 16
35.9 37 (38) Justin Turner 15
35.2 38 (33) George Springer 10
34.4 39 (33) Kevin Kiermaier 11
34.2 40 (36) Michael Brantley 14
34.0 41 (37) Corey Kluber 13
33.9 42 (37) Carlos Santana 14
33.3 43 (33) Salvador Perez 12
33.2 44 (33) Anthony Rendon 11
32.7 45 (34) Elvis Andrus 15
32.5 46 (29) Alex Bregman 8
32.3 47 (34) Stephen Strasburg 13
31.7 48 (32) J.T. Realmuto 10
30.9 49 (36) José Abreu 10
30.8 50 (30) Aaron Nola 9
30.7 51 (30) Trea Turner 9
30.4 52 (34) DJ LeMahieu 13
30.4 53 (36) Yu Darvish 11
30.3 54 (36) Brandon Crawford 13
29.9 55 (28) Shohei Ohtani 6 有机会 (低)
29.7 56 (30) Matt Chapman 7
29.7 57 (36) Lance Lynn 12
29.3 58 (30) Trevor Story 7
28.8 59 (31) Kris Bryant 9
28.8 60 (37) Matt Carpenter 13
28.7 61 (35) J.D. Martinez 13
28.2 62 (35) Brandon Belt 13
27.9 63 (29) Corey Seager 9
27.4 64 (33) Sonny Gray 11
26.8 65 (33) Zack Wheeler 9
26.6 66 (24) Juan Soto 6 有机会
26.5 67 (30) Javier Báez 10
26.4 68 (33) Jean Segura 12
26.4 69 (34) José Quintana 11
24.0 70 (32) Marcus Stroman 9
23.4 71 (29) Matt Olson 8
22.7 72 (29) Ketel Marte 9
22.5 73 (35) AJ Pollock 12
22.3 74 (33) Kyle Hendricks 10
22.2 75 (35) Craig Kimbrel 14
21.7 76 (25) Ronald Acuna Jr. 6 有机会
21.7 77 (32) Kolten Wong 11
21.5 78 (31) Willson Contreras 8
21.5 79 (32) Julio Teheran 12
21.4 80 (36) Carlos Carrasco 14
21.2 81 (32) Kevin Gausman 11
21.0 82 (29) Byron Buxton 9
21.0 83 (32) Marcell Ozuna 11
20.5 84 (35) Kenley Jansen 14
20.4 85 (38) Daniel Murphy 12
20.3 86 (34) Yasmani Grandal 12
20.2 87 (34) Danny Duffy 11
20.1 88 (30) Luis Castillo 7
20.0 89 (38) David Robertson 15
19.9 90 (31) Jonathan Schoop 11
19.8 91 (35) Aroldis Chapman 14
19.7 92 (36) Hyun Jin Ryu 9
19.6 93 (36) Charlie Blackmon 13
19.2 94 (27) Cody Bellinger 7
19.2 95 (35) Alex Cobb 12
19.0 96 (35) Dallas Keuchel 11
18.9 97 (30) Brandon Nimmo 8
18.6 98 (29) Max Fried 7
18.6 99 (33) Eric Hosmer 13
18.6 100 (34) Whit Merrifield 8
生涯WAR领先者,连结如下: (先前排版有问题,提供连结自行参考)
https://www.baseball-reference.com/leaders/WAR_career.shtml