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NEW: Top 100 Prospects list
August 19th, 2021
Jim Callis
@JimCallisMLB
There's more upheaval than ever on MLB Pipeline's updated Top 100 Prospects li
st. Twenty-seven players have graduated from our preseason rankings to the big
leagues, and performances have been more volatile than ever coming off a 2020
season with no Minor League games.
Rays shortstop Wander Franco had sat atop our last four preseason and midseaso
n Top 100s, but now that he has lost his rookie/prospect status, Orioles catch
er Adley Rutschman claims the No. 1 spot. For just the second time since MLB.c
om began compiling its rankings in 2004, the same team boasts the game's top p
osition prospect and top pitching prospect.
Complete Top 100 rankings
https://www.mlb.com/prospects/top100/
Baltimore right-hander Grayson Rodriguez is the highest-ranked hurler at No. 8
. The only other organization to accomplish that feat was the White Sox, with
Yoan Moncada at No. 1 and Michael Kopech at No. 12 on our mid-2017 list.
Let's break down the new Top 100 in a variety of ways ...
The Top 10
1. Adley Rutschman, C, Orioles
2. Julio Rodriguez, OF, Mariners
3. Bobby Witt Jr., SS, Royals
4. Spencer Torkelson, 3B/1B, Tigers
5. Marco Luciano, SS, Giants
6. C.J. Abrams, SS, Padres
7. Riley Greene, OF, Tigers
8. Grayson Rodriguez, RHP, Orioles
9. Marcelo Mayer, SS, Red Sox
10. Francisco Alvarez, C, Mets
The top of our list consists of five holdovers from our preseason Top 10 (Ruts
chman, Julio Rodriguez, Witt, Torkelson, Abrams), four more players who ranked
in the upper half of that Top 100 (Luciano, Greene, Grayson Rodriguez, Alvare
z) and our highest-rated 2021 Draft prospect (Mayer).
Biggest risers
Rays right-hander Shane Baz made the biggest leap from our preseason Top 100 t
o our current list, moving from No. 90 to No. 20 after finally figuring out ho
w to harness his impressive pure stuff. Here are the prospects with the most u
pward mobility:
Shane Baz, RHP, Rays (No. 90 to No. 20, up 70)
Cade Cavalli, RHP, Nationals (No. 99 to No. 41, up 58)
George Kirby, RHP, Mariners (No. 92 to No. 35, up 57)
Reid Detmers, LHP, Angels (No. 74 to No. 24, up 50)
Brennen Davis, OF, Cubs (No. 61 to No. 14, up 47)
Brett Baty, 3B/OF, Mets (No. 94 to No. 49, up 45)
Hunter Greene, RHP, Reds (No. 81 to No. 27, up 44)
Alek Thomas, OF, Diamondbacks (No. 81 to No. 42, up 39)
Francisco Alvarez, C, Mets (No. 48 to No. 10, up 38)
Edward Cabrera, RHP, Marlins (No. 68 to No. 30, up 38)
Keibert Ruiz, C, Nationals (No. 57 to No. 19, up 38)
Highest newcomers
Mariners shortstop Noelvi Marte couldn't quite crack our preseason list but ro
cketed all the way up to No. 11 on our updated Top 100 in the midst of his imp
ressive U.S. debut. That's the biggest jump from off the list to on it, and he
re are the largest such moves, all of them made by position players:
Noelvi Marte, SS, Mariners (No. 11)
Anthony Volpe, SS, Yankees (No. 15)
Jarren Duran, OF, Red Sox (No. 26)
Diego Cartaya, C, Dodgers (No. 29)
Jose Barrero, SS, Reds (No. 33)
Gabriel Moreno, C, Blue Jays (No. 34)
Tyler Soderstrom, C, Athletics (No. 46)
Orelvis Martinez, SS/3B, Blue Jays (No. 48)
Jordan Walker, 3B, Cardinals (No. 63)
Oswald Peraza, SS, Yankees (No. 64)
Draft debuts
Eleven players from the 2021 Draft immediately enter the Top 100 after turning
pro. All of them are first-round picks, including the first six selections:
Marcelo Mayer, SS, Red Sox (No. 9, fourth overall choice)
Jack Leiter, RHP, Rangers (No. 12, second overall)
Jordan Lawlar, SS, Diamondbacks (No. 13, sixth overall)
Henry Davis, C, Pirates (No. 23, first overall)
Kahlil Watson, SS, Marlins (No. 28, 16th overall)
Jackson Jobe, RHP, Tigers (No. 50, third overall)
Brady House, SS, Nationals (No. 60, 11th overall)
Colton Cowser, OF, Orioles (No. 83, fifth overall)
Sam Bachman, RHP, Angels (No. 96, ninth overall)
Sal Frelick, OF, Brewers (No. 97, 15th overall)
Matt McLain, SS, Reds (No. 99, 17th overall)
Demographics
For the first time ever, right-handed pitchers aren't the most represented pos
ition on the Top 100. That distinction belongs to the outfielders with 24, fol
lowed by shortstops (22), right-handers (21), catchers (12), left-handers (nin
e), second basemen and third basemen (five each), and first basemen (two).
Seventy-seven Top 100 prospects came out of the Draft, including 60 first-roun
d choices and four No. 1 overall selections (Rutschman, Torkelson, Davis and T
wins shortstop Royce Lewis), while 23 arrived via the international market. El
even of them already have been traded, with Ruiz the highest-ranked member of
that group at No. 19 after going from the Dodgers to the Nationals in the rece
nt Trea Turner/Max Scherzer deal.
The United States produced 75 players on the list, followed by the Dominican R
epublic with 15 and Venezuela with seven. Canada (Twins right-hander Jordan Ba
lazovic, No. 88), Cuba (Barrero) and Puerto Rico (Giants outfielder Heliot Ram
os, No. 87) can each claim one Top 100 prospect.
Farm reports
The Marlins are the lone organization with seven Top 100 Prospects, highlighte
d by Watson at No. 28 and right-handers Edward Cabrera and Max Meyer at Nos. 3
0 and 31. The Royals have six Top 100 guys, while the Orioles, Pirates, Ranger
s and Rays each have five.
A quick if imprecise way to gauge the strength of star talent in a farm system
is to calculate what we call Prospect Points (100 for the No. 1 prospect, 99
for No. 2 and so on through one for No. 100). The Marlins lead in that measure
as well with 323, narrowly edging the Mariners at 320.
The Top 10 organizations in terms of Prospect Points, with their top prospect
in parentheses:
Marlins, 323 (Kahlil Watson, SS, No. 28)
Mariners, 320 (Julio Rodriguez, OF, No. 2)
Orioles, 255 (Adley Rutschman, C, No. 1)
Padres, 250 (C.J. Abrams, SS, No. 6)
Red Sox, 250 (Marcelo Mayer, SS, No. 9)
Tigers, 242 (Spencer Torkelson, 3B/1B, No. 4)
Royals, 235 (Bobby Witt Jr., SS, No. 3)
Nationals, 230 (Keibert Ruiz, C, No. 19)
Diamondbacks, 227 (Jordan Lawlar, SS, No. 13)
Blue Jays, 217 (Gabriel Moreno, C, No. 34)
Best tools
We grade every Top 100 Prospect's tools on the 20-80 scouting scale, where 50
represents big league average. These are the best of the best:
Hit (65):Austin Martin, OF/SS, Twins (No. 38); Tyler Freeman, INF, Indians (N
o. 65)
Power (70):Spencer Torkelson, 3B/1B, Tigers (No. 4)
Run (80):C.J. Abrams, SS, Padres (No. 6)
Arm (75):Gabriel Arias, INF, Indians (No. 89)
Field (80):Cristian Pache, OF, Braves (No. 40)
Fastball (80):Hunter Greene, RHP, Reds (No. 27); Nate Pearson, RHP, Blue Jays
(No. 44); Brailyn Marquez, LHP, Cubs (No. 95)
Curveball (65):Reid Detmers, LHP, Angels (No. 24)
Slider (70):Jackson Jobe, RHP, Tigers (No. 50)
Changeup (70):Ryan Pepiot, RHP, Dodgers (No. 67); Jackson Kowar, RHP, Royals
(No. 93)
Control (65):George Kirby, RHP, Mariners (No. 35)
Did you like this story?
Jim Callis is a reporter for MLB.com. [email protected] on Twitter. Listen
to him on the weekly MLB Pipeline Podcast.