※ [本文转录自 Baseball 看板 #1LyFd1EX ]
作者: WillWaiting (Creep) 看板: Baseball
标题: [专栏] 酒鬼的40人名单满出来了
时间: Thu Sep 10 11:32:14 2015
Milwaukee Brewers Facing 40 Man Roster Crunch This Winter
http://tinyurl.com/p3v53zs
这是一篇酒鬼的球迷写的专栏分析
今年酒鬼在冬季会议上将面临太多有规则五资格的优质新秀导致四十人名单不够用
以下简短介绍并翻译部份于最后附上原文
酒鬼今年冬天能够确定进四十人名单的大概有37位
剩下的3个位置将有45个有被资格五选秀的球员来竞争
而其中大概有七个球员是其中比较可能进40人名单的
还有另外几个是也有可能被考虑的
比较可能的新秀有
1. 游击 Orlando Arcia
酒鬼头号新秀,在二A出赛127场打出.308/.349/.457惊人数据,其中有52支长打
25次盗垒,他还有游击平均以上防守,他是最顶尖的新秀之一以及未来的明星游击手
2. 右投 Jorge Lopez
酒鬼第九号新秀, 今年二A的成绩2.26 ERA 137/52 K/BB 143.2IP.他今年终于练
成第三球种,有54%的滚地出局比例.最近在Fangraphs网站被评为前五十大新秀
3. 外野 Michael Reed
酒鬼第18号新秀,在2A跟3A的130场比赛中缴出.271/.373/.414,可以守外野的三
个位置,在他优秀的选球眼下总算长出了不错的力量(14%四坏率).未来可能是
过渡用的中外野手或是优秀的四号外野
4. 外野 Victor Roache
酒鬼22号新秀,在A+跟2A之间的128场出赛中缴出.255/.326/.443及18支全垒打
今年终于长出还可以的打击率及四坏保送来配上他优异的长打能力,只是被三振
次数还是偏高(157次/128场),不过成功的克服了A+跟2A之间的落差.他会是
Domingo Santana穷人版
5. 左投 王维中
王在2013的规则五选秀被酒鬼选走并放在大联盟一整年,在A+经历了挫折的开季后
在六月被DFA.自从被DFA后,他又缴出让他自己成为酒鬼未来蓝图的优秀表现,在
14场先发85局中缴出1.59ERA 51次三振,并且只有16次的保送,三次的完投比他被
敲的两发全垒打还多.由于他的优异表现在季末被升上3A投出六局无失分的比赛
6. 右投 Adrian Houser
酒鬼的28号新秀,在Gomez/Fiers的交易中被换来.被交易后,在2A的Shuckers里投出
37局2.92的自责分率,以32:6 K/BB展现出大幅进步的控球,他的第三球种仍需要磨
练,但他今年缴出了55.2%的滚地比例,未来会是4,5号先发
7. 右投 Jorge Ortega
Ortega并没有投出很多的三振,但他可能有酒鬼农场最好的控球,在今年A+跟3A
的出赛(跟王一样最后一场上3A),147.2局中投出2.38 ERA及六次的完投,75次三振
及仅有的12次保送,也就是0.7的BB/9.他在小联盟生涯中只保送了3%的打者,有
极好控球的球员可以容易在后段轮值中出赛
其他可能人选Brooks Hall,Brooks Hall ,Brent Suter ,Brent Suter,
Yhonathan Barrios,Nick Ramirez
The Milwaukee Brewers find themselves in a position of organizational strength that hasn’t been seen for the better part of a decade. Thanks to the breakout seasons of several prospects as well as the addition of many more through trades, the rebuilding Brewers have completely transformed their farm system in the span of less than a year. Milwaukee has laid the solid foundation for what some hope will be an abbreviated rebuilding period under a new General Manager. With this sudden influx of talent,
however, the Brewers now have quite a predicament on their hands.
Each year, Major League Baseball’s Rule 5 Draft is held during the Winter Meetings. If a team selects a player in the Rule 5 draft, that player needs to spend to the entire following season on the team’s 25 man roster, and must be active (not on the DL) for a minimum of 90 days. Players not protected by being placed on the organization’s 40 man roster are eligible to be drafted if they meet the following conditions:
-If a player was signed at age 18 or younger, they are eligible after playing for five years.
-If a player was signed at age 19 or older, they are eligible after playing four years.
If a player has gone their first six professional seasons without being added to the 40 man roster, they are eligible for minor league free agency. After the Brewers’ flurry of moves over the last few days, Milwaukee’s roster currently stands at 37 players with three more open spots available.
Thanks to Jim Goulart of Brewerfan.net, we have a complete list of players within the organization who will be Rule 5 draft eligible this winter unless they are added to the 40 man roster. Milwaukee will have a whopping 45 players who could possibly be snapped up by other teams, although this includes many players in the low minors that are unlikely to be chosen to jump straight to the big leagues. By my estimation, the Brewers have seven “must-add” players on the list:
1. SS Orlando Arcia || 2011 International Signing (Venezuela)
Brewers’ number one prospect, .308/.349/.457 in 127 games for AA Biloxi this season with 52 extra base hits, 25 stolen bases, and above average defense. The future of the franchise at shortstop and one of the top prospects in all of baseball.
2. RHP Jorge Lopez || 2011 Round 2
Brewers’ number nine prospect, 2.26 ERA, 137 K|52 BB in 143.2 innings for AA Biloxi this year. Finally developed a third pitch, induces ground balls at a 54% rate. Recently referred to as a top 50 overall prospect according to Kiley McDaniel of Fangraphs.
3. OF Michael Reed || 2011 Round 5
Brewers’ number 18 prospect, .271/.373/.414 in 130 games between AA and AAA this season. Capable of playing all three outfield positions, finally flashed some decent power to go with tremendous on-base skills (14% career walk rate). Could be stopgap center fielder and/or terrific fourth outfielder.
4. OF Victor Roache || 2012 Round 1
Brewers’ number 22 prospect, .255/.326/.443 with 18 home runs in 128 games between A+ and AA this season. Finally added acceptable batting average with plus power and improved walk rate. Still strikes out too much (157 times in 128 games this year), but successfully navigated important jump from high-A to AA this season. Think of him as a Domingo Santana-lite.
5. LHP Wei Chung Wang || 2011 International Signing (Taiwan)
Wang came to the Brewers in the 2013 Rule 5 Draft and was retained on the active roster all through 2014, only to be DFA’d in June after a tough start to his season in high-A. In 14 starts since being outrighted, Wang has firmly re-established himself as part of the organization’s future plans, posting a 1.59 ERA in 85.0 innings with 51 strikeouts, just 16 walks, and more complete games (3) than home runs allowed (2). Wei Chung was rewarded with a promotion to AAA for his efforts, and threw 6.0
shutout innings in his Sky Sox debut.
6. RHP Adrian Houser || 2011 Round 2
Houser, the Brewers’ number 28 prospect, came to Milwaukee in the Gomez/Fiers trade at this year’s deadline. He has posted a 2.92 ERA in 37.0 innings since joining the Shuckers, showing improved command with a 32 to 6 K:BB ratio. His third pitch still needs work but he boasts a 55.2% ground ball rate this year and should develop into a number four or five starter.
7. RHP Jorge Ortega || 2011 International Signing (Venezuela)
Ortega doesn’t rack up many strikeouts, but he might have the best command of any pitcher in the system. This year between A+ and AAA, Ortega posted a 2.38 ERA in 147.2 innings, notching six complete games with 75 strikeouts and just 12 walks, or 0.7 BB/9. He has walked only 3% of hitters during his minor league career, and guys with impeccable control can usually find a role at the back end of a starting rotation.
In addition to those seven players, there are at least another five players who could be considered “on the bubble.” Brooks Hall was protected last season, but was outrighted off the 40 man this year and had an up-and-down season in AA, evetually losing his spot in the starting rotation. Damien Magnifico performed admirably as the Shuckers’ closer this season with a 1.20 ERA in 41 games, but doesn’t miss many bats and has some command issues. Brent Suter is a lefty starter who has posted solid
numbers at every level and topped out at AAA this season as a former 31st round pick. Yhonathan Barrios, aqcuired in the Aramis Ramirez deal, is eligible for minor league free agency after the season. He’s still learning to pitch after being signed as an infielder, but has performed well and greatly improved his K:BB ratio since joining Biloxi’s staff. Finally, Nick Ramirez is a slugging first baseman who has had back-to-back solid campaigns at Biloxi and provides depth at one of the organization’s
weakest positions.
In order to protect all, or even some, of the players mentioned above, Milwaukee is going to have to do a lot of maneuvering on their 40 man roster come this offseason. With just three spots currently available and another opening after Kyle Lohse‘s contract is up, fringe players like 1B Matt Clark, C Juan Centeno and Nevin Ashley, OF Logan Schafer, and RHP Johnny Hellweg could be in jeopardy of losing their roster spots with the Brewers. There is also the possibility of starters like Adam Lind, Jean
Segura, or Khris Davis getting moved as well, which will help move along the rebuilding process and clear some more roster space.
Whoever ends up becoming the new General Manager of the Milwaukee Brewers will have a busy winter ahead of them. Having too much talent is, of course, a great problem to walk into as an incoming GM. One thing we can be almost certain of is that there will be plenty of roster turnover this offseason, and it will be imperative for the franchise’s new decision maker to protect the team’s best assets while leveraging the others for more future gains.