Re: [情报] 2015 HR derby 对战组合

楼主: badom (BADOM)   2015-08-07 08:25:34
※ 引述《mrkey (距离太远 思念太近)》之铭言:
: '15 HR 数 (~7/7) 420~474 ft. 475+ ft.
: ┌─1种: Albert Pujols (LAA) 26 6 (max: 438) 0
: ┌┤
: │└─8种: Kris Bryant (CHC) 12 3 (max: 463) 0
: ┌┤
: ││
: ││┌─4种: Joc Pederson (LAD) 20 12 (max: 480) -> 1
: │└┤
: │ └─5种: Manny Machado (BAL) 18 1 (max: 422) 0
: ┤
: │
: │ ┌─3种: Josh Donaldson (TOR) 21 9 (max: 469) 0
: │┌┤
: ││└─6种: Anthony Rizzo (CHC) 16 3 (max: 441) 0
: └┤
: │
: │┌─2种: Todd Frazier (CIN) 25 4 (max: 428) 0
: └┤
: └─7种: Prince Fielder (TEX) 13 6 (max: 449) 0
: 全垒打距离资料: www.hittrackeronline.com
http://tinyurl.com/qh6wrt8
来看看各位参赛者打完全垒打大赛之后的表现如何?
Todd Frazier, Reds
Pre-All Star break stats: .284/.337/.585, 25 homers, 57 RBIs
Post-All Star break stats: .169/.231/.310, one homers, 11 RBIs in 18 games
Thoughts: Frazier has talked often about how much he loves the derby, and it’
s hard to blame him. He won this year’s contest at his home park and
finished as runner-up in 2014. But at some point, he’s going to start
hearing folks suggest that maybe he should sit the next round out. You see
his numbers this year. Not great. Last season, Frazier had a .290/.353/.500
slash line heading into the All-Star events and a .222/.260/.264 slash line,
with only one homer, in the 18 games after the break. Of course, no direct
cause/effect can be proven, but Cincinnati front-office folks have surely
taken notice.
Joc Pederson, Dodgers
Pre-All Star break stats: .230/.364/.487, 20 homers, 40 RBIs
Post-All Star break stats: .172/.284/.259, one homer, three RBIs in 15 games
Thoughts: It’s easy to try and pin Pederson’s recent struggles — and make
no mistake, he has struggled mightily — on the derby, but his slide didn’t
start with the new-this-year ticking clock. No, his skid started well before
the All-Star Game festivities. In his 35 games prior to the break, Pederson
batted just .172 and hit only three home runs. In other words, Los Angeles’
powerful rookie has had issues at the plate for quite a while.
Albert Pujols, Angels
Pre-All Star break stats: .255/.323/.532, 26 homers, 56 RBIs
Post-All Star break stats: .264/.284/.458, four homers, 10 RBIs in 18 games
Thoughts: It’s not at all surprising Pujols’ numbers are pretty similar.
This is the fourth time the eventual Hall of Fame slugger has competed in the
derby — though it’s the first time since Busch Stadium hosted the 2009
event — and Pujols understands the mechanics of his swing as well as any
player in the bigs.
Josh Donaldson, Blue Jays
Pre-All Star break stats: .293/.351/.532, 21 homers, 60 RBIs
Post-All Star break stats: .290/.390/.739, eight homers, 20 RBIs in 18 games
Thoughts: Donaldson has been, by far, the best offensive producer of any of
the derby contestants since the event.
Kris Bryant, Cubs
Pre-All Star break stats: .269/.376./472, 12 homers, 51 RBIs
Post-All Star break stats: .147/.269/.265, two homers, 10 RBIs in 19 games
Thoughts: A more concerning development than just Bryant’s paltry batting
average since the All-Star Game is his inability to make contact. His
strikeout percentage before the break (29.7 percent of his plate appearances)
was already lofty. Since the break, though, he’s struck out 29 times in 81
plate appearances, a rate of 35.8 percent. That’s not ideal.
Prince Fielder, Rangers
Pre-All Star break stats: .339/.403/.521, 14 homers, 54 RBIs
Post-All Star break stats: .268/.354/.394, two homers, nine RBIs
Thoughts: Fielder knows the potential impact as well as any player in the
bigs. When he won the derby in 2012, he had a .299 average and .885 OPS going
in; in his first 19 games after the break, he had a .323 average and .899
OPS. When he won in 2009, he had a .315 average and 1.055 OPS; in his first
19 games after the break, he had a .267 average and .792 OPS. Fielder wound
up hitting 24 second-half homers that year, so it clearly wasn’t that big of
an issue for him.
Anthony Rizzo, Cubs
Pre-All Star break stats: .298/.413/.542, 16 homers, 48 RBIs
Post-All Star break stats: .274/.337/.534, five homers, 15 RBIs in 19 games
Thoughts: Rizzo has turned into an on-base machine for the Cubs, and patient
hitters who walk almost as much as they strike out (he has 51 walks and 60
strikeouts this season) can avoid long dry spells. His five homers since the
break are the most of any participant, outside of the red-hot Josh Donaldson.
Manny Machado, Orioles
Pre-All Star break stats: .298/.361/.525, 19 homers, 48 RBIs
Post-All Star break stats: .257/.353/.446, four homers, eight RBIs in 19 games
Thoughts: Machado’s batting average is down a bit because his BABIP (batting
average on balls in play) is .250 since the break, as compared to .311 before
the break. That’ll bring the slugging percentage down, too.
冠军Todd Frazier看起来有受到影响
新人王竞争者Joc Pederson, Kris Bryant也陷入低潮
看起来只有Josh Donaldson还持续高档,已经打出生涯最高29发
Bryce Harper没参加或许是正确的决定
作者: EEERRIICC (大尾魯蛇)   2015-08-07 08:32:00
Frazier完全冷
作者: mightymouse (翻堕罗流大师)   2015-08-07 08:34:00
不过Harper没参加下半季全垒打也缩水,靠选球撑OPS
作者: answertw (Cy yang)   2015-08-07 08:59:00
是上半季太强而不是下半季缩水吧 那种成绩本来就不科学
作者: henry0317 (金艺琳是我的)   2015-08-07 09:07:00
大奶婶太猛啦
作者: Roshiel (Roshiel)   2015-08-07 09:09:00
老大好惨啊
作者: uranusjr (←這人是超級笨蛋)   2015-08-07 10:00:00
标准的 selection bias, 最后的结论完全没有根据
楼主: badom (BADOM)   2015-08-07 10:36:00
作者: JessicaA1ba (桑拉)   2015-08-07 11:25:00
大奶婶最近超威der
作者: qwert860921 (Cir)   2015-08-07 14:22:00
果然是蓝鸟队的一员啊

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