http://www.baseballprospectus.com/odds/
Expected Win Pct : 预期胜率 (EWP)
Sim Win : 模拟胜场数 (SW)
Sim Loss : 模拟败场数 (SL)
Div Pct : 分区封王机率 (DIV)
WC Pct : 外卡机率 (WC)
Playoff Pct : DIV + WC 两者相加之机率 (PP)
Playoff Pct Adj : 修正后的晋级机率 (PPA)
美联东区
TEAM EWP SW SL DIV WC PP PPA
BOS .555 94.3 67.7 82.6% 15.7% 98.3% 90.7%
TB .556 90.9 71.1 16.1% 69.7% 85.8% 52.5%
BAL .499 85.4 76.6 0.9% 8.7% 9.6% 4.9%
NYY .480 84.6 77.4 0.4% 6.3% 6.7% 3.2%
美联中区
TEAM EWP SW SL DIV WC PP PPA
DET .603 95.5 66.5 99.2% 0.5% 99.7% 99.5%
CLE .514 86.1 75.9 0.7% 12.8% 13.5% 6.8%
KC .488 82.3 79.7 0.1% 0.7% 0.8% 0.4%
美联西区
TEAM EWP SW SL DIV WC PP PPA
TEX .541 93.0 69.0 71.2% 25.0% 96.2% 83.8%
OAK .531 91.2 70.8 28.8% 60.6% 89.4% 58.2%
国联东区
TEAM EWP SW SL DIV WC PP PPA
ATL .559 98.4 63.6 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0%
WSH .512 82.6 79.4 0.0% 3.6% 3.6% 1.7%
国联中区
TEAM EWP SW SL DIV WC PP PPA
STL .544 93.3 68.7 51.4% 48.2% 99.6% 75.5%
PIT .532 92.6 69.4 36.0% 63.2% 99.2% 66.6%
CIN .549 90.0 72.0 12.6% 82.4% 95.0% 54.7%
国联西区
TEAM EWP SW SL DIV WC PP PPA
LAD .557 94.6 67.4 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 99.9%
ARI .499 82.5 79.5 0.1% 2.5% 2.6% 1.3%
1. 国联五席基本上都决定的差不多了 就看 WSH 和 ARI 能够走到何种境界
2. 美西 国中 美东可能要杀到最后一天才能决定龙头跟外卡
3. 莫忘那 0.1% 不可能的任务