http://tinyurl.com/bqy9de3
"The thing about it I wouldn't question is the format," Smith said. "You've
got your player's batting, his fielding, his baserunning. How well he stays
out of double plays, turns double plays. How he prevents runners from
advancing. You can express all of those things in runs. And once you do that,
you add them up, and it seems so common sense, I don't understand why people
would question it."
Sean Smith (BR版WAR开发人): 我从不怀疑公式 你计算球员的打击 防守 跑垒
避免双杀 制造双杀 防止抢垒 把这些换算成分数 然后相加 这不是很合乎常识吗?
我不懂为什么人们要质疑它
That said, they don't invalidate the metric's more accurate pieces. As Smith
said: "I think you can use WAR without crunching a single defensive number.
You can take scouting reports and divide guys into above, average, below.
Fudge the numbers. Use scouting-based defensive numbers. If they all match
somewhat, use it. If they don't match, you've got to make a judgment call as
to what's best.
"不用数据也可以计算WAR 例如使用球探报告 把球员分成上中下 推测个数字 然后带入
如果不合 就再做另一次猜测"
"I just couldn't justify ignoring defense entirely."
"我只是无法忽略防守不计"