推 Parazicecum:要说巨头队 应该MLB更夸张吧 NBA有薪资上限的限制 一 11/03 10:49
→ Parazicecum:支球队明星收集有限 但看看之前洋基队 或者是费城人队 11/03 10:50
→ Parazicecum:轮值 根本变态 MLB就是有钱好办事 没钱万年殿底 11/03 10:51
→ Parazicecum:NBA的弱队还有起来的机会 MLB的弱队顶多某一年回光返 11/03 10:51
→ Parazicecum:照 其余时间都是陪打的罢了 11/03 10:51
http://tinyurl.com/9hb62dr
When we look at the actual estimation of the line’s equation, though, we
note one very important issue. The link between payroll and winning
percentage in 2012 is not statistically significant.* In other words –
despite what we see when we stare at the line — we can’t argue that
payroll and winning percentage in 2012 are actually related to each other.
事实上 今年的MLB球队胜率和薪资间是没有统计上的显著关系的
会让战绩和薪资脱钩的原因在魔球里面有解释过了
答案就是新人上来后要先当长达六年的廉价劳工 之后才能到FA市场上捞肥约
除此之外 棒球预测 特别是投手部分 非常困难
往往造成所谓"签假货"的事件
导致最后球队表现和薪资脱钩 (但和GM能力非常相关)
反观NBA
http://tinyurl.com/7hxqukt
With respect to the NBA, the ceiling on salaries is causing the top players
to allocate themselves according to one specific non-salary issue. Again,
consider the LeBron saga. LeBron didn’t leave Cleveland because the
Cavaliers couldn’t afford his services. LeBron left Cleveland because he
wanted to win a title (which he did). Now it appears that Howard is
following the same pattern. And Durant’s ability to contend with the
Thunder is probably part of the reason he appears to be happy in Oklahoma.
In essence, this story is similar to what we already see in college
basketball. Why do the top high school athletes flock to Kentucky every
year? It’s not because Lexington, Kentucky is a large market. Players like
John Wall, DeMarcus Cousins, Brandon Knight, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, and
Anthony Davis went to Kentucky because they had a chance to contend for a
title. A similar story is told about players who attend Duke, North
Carolina, and Kansas. None of these schools are in large markets. But all
provide a program that consistently competes for championships.
薪资上限反倒造成顶尖球员追求高薪资以外的目标 (夺冠)
让强队可以用低于水准的薪水签下顶级球员
而小球队即使提出顶新 如果明星球员感觉看不到未来 一样留不住招牌