今早看到大哥的po文 就决定也来翻翻看。
全部翻文前 虽然已经看到有版友也试着翻翻看
不过想说既然我都翻完了 不po也对不起自己 囧>
有些地方我也有自己回去看VOD 确认翻译无误
因为其实当初我刚好也没有追到比赛
不过还是怕有一些资讯可能翻得没有很好
还请见谅
最后 9/1开的大哥是对的 我们都支持你 加油～
※ 引述《tomchen60229 (小威)》之铭言：
: 刚回到台湾 在国外不太可能用手机发文
: 比赛完看到很多推文 巴哈的文章
: 觉得挺难过的 所以决定打这篇文章
: 如果有余力的版友可以顺便帮我转巴哈吗?
After the tournament I saw many online forums talking about my luck which
made me a little upset, so I decided to type up this post. Feel free to share
it to any other forums.
: 这次比赛的运气算是相当不错
: 但最后一天跟trump kolento打的时候 互相的运气比拼其实都相当接近55波
: 下面讲解一些比较有印象的事情
: (VOD我只看我觉得我出的有争议的地方 所以对手的失误我只提几个)
I have to say my luck in this tournament was pretty good. But I feel like
the last day when I was playing Trump and Kolento, our lucks were all fairly
even. The following are the things that I could remember and I'll only discuss
them. (When I watched the VOD I mainly focused on my plays that perhaps
could be missplays, so I will only slightly touch on what I think were a few
of my opponent's errors)
: 第一天K神真的赛到歪头
: 每次我起手运气比较好的时候
: 就一定重赛(4场)(断线)
: 重赛到最后K神起手超好/我起手不好
: 这场就会结束了
: 我对运气好坏是不会有太多感情的 因为炉石就这样啊
: 但重赛害我输我就会觉得超级无敌霹雳不爽
: 所以打K神打到最后 我脸超臭
: 但接下来的比赛就重新出发 没断线我都没差
Godlento was very lucky on the first day. Whenever I had a better opening,
the game disconnected and we had to rematch (4 games). Those rematches that
played to the end all seemed to favour him. Personally I don't really
get affected too much by luck because that is the way Hearthstone is. But I
feel it was those rematches that cost me the games that i could've won and
that made me really really upset. But the rest of the match was like a fresh
new start, no disconnection then I was fine with it.
: 跟trump打其实赛前不太害怕
: 因为光就牌组而言我算是相当克制他带的牌组
I felt quite confident playing against Trump since the decks I brought seemed
to counter his decks.
: 第一场被阿周害死 没阿周不一定会赢
: 但阿周绝对是快攻比较希望看到的牌
: 打快攻圣我只需要血多的2费生物就可以交换很多东西
: 更不用说后来的硬币神恩术有多惨了
Lorewalker Cho had to be the MVP that cost me the first game, but I'm not
saying without Cho i would definitely win. Cho is a minion that aggro would
want to see. Playing against aggro paladin I really only needed a 2 mana
minion with high health to be able to contest the board. Not to mention the
coined divine favor pretty much sealed the game.
: 第二场其实也还好
: 四费我知道他要斗殴了 因为正常战士不会吝啬去砍镜像
: 但还是得下雪人 不下的话很可能他就直接出其他生物
: 斗殴最后留镜像-50%
: 接下来好几回合没有生物进来 失去超级多的节奏
: 好不容易传到红龙(关于传送门我最后会在特别留一段来解说)
: 红龙算是运气非常不错了
: 下一个传送门传渔人-废物
: 最后一回合密法飞弹赢的机率-2/3*2/3*2/3=70%+ (飞弹一下都打不到脸或嘲讽)
: 其实我觉得加上我卡牌卡的要死 这场的运气也就普普通通啊
The second match was okay.
On turn 4 I knew he was going to brawl because warrior in general won't
hesitate to kill off the Mirror Image with the weapon. But I still had to go
with the Mechanical Yeti becuase if I didn't he could put out other minions
instead to get more control of the board.
Brawl with the Mirror Image remaining - 50%
The next few turns I didn't pick up any minions from the draws which lost
me a lot of tempo. Eventually I got Alexstrasza from the Portal. (I'll talk
more about the portal at the end) I have to say getting Alexstrasza was pretty
lucky. The next portal got me a Murloc - useless. The last turn my win rate
with Arcane Missiles would be - 2/3*2/3*2/3 = 70%+ (the missiles missed the
face or the taunt). Overall I feel my hand was pretty bad in this game but
the luck was average.
: 第三场
: 前面没生物出/没奥多尔有点衰
: 后面跳末日赛到歪头啊啊啊啊
: 不过如果我被对面场面压力吓到 提早打出伐木机 而不是打脸
: 这场结果还有点难说
: 但这场真的赛赛赛赛赛赛赛赛赛
The third game:
I didn't have minions to put out at the beginning / no Aldor Peacekeeper was
a little unluckly as well. But then came the Doomsayer which was very very
lucky for me (Esport to the max). However, if I felt pressured by the board
and gone for the Piloted Shredder instead of going face, this game would still
be anyone's. But anyways Esport basically carried the game for me.
: 第四场
: 起手换掉僵尸我觉得是很好的换牌
: 中间双王牌死不来让我有点抖
: 其实现在的龙术逼出对面的斗殴之后
: 王牌射掉一只大只的生物兼舖其他生物就会赢了
: 不太需要留蓝龙收尾
The fourth game:
Disgarding the Zombie Chow was a good mulligan for me. In the mid game though,
not drawing any of my 2 BGHs was a little concerning. Actually in terms of
Malygoslock these days, if you were able to bait out the brawl, BGH one
of your opponent's bigger minions and put out other minions to control the
board, the game would pretty much be yours. You won't even need Malygos to
finish off the game.
: 第五场
: 算是运气很好
: 对面很卡我蛮顺的
: 但其实就算正常打我也还是有自信赢就是了
: 而且Trump有打错(失误篇等等XD)
The fifth game:
Pretty lucky, my opponent had a clunky hand and my hand was pretty good. But
I felt quite confident in winning even if our hands were all decent. Besides,
Trump had a missplay. (will discuss later)
: 对上K神
: 第一场
: K神赛到歪头 我起手全换摸不到食尸鬼/小斧/护甲/猛击
: K神起手直接飞刀手+两1费 当然也奠基在K神打对直接出飞刀手
: T7打奴隶是非常劣势的对战 一定是要赌对方没有解 看能不能靠铺生物直接打爆奴隶
: 而且战士很多处理一血生物的方法 所以后手一定是出飞刀手
: 中间科学家没拉爆炸拉毒蛇-50%
: 飞刀毒蛇射死我的护甲不射苦痛/脸-惨
: 最后收尾的胡佛我反而觉得还好 抽到其他伤害卡的机率很高 看到胡佛就笑笑就好了
: 反正这场看起来就是该输的场 我尽力了
Against Godlento
First game:
Godlento had all his luck at the start. I couldn't get any of my Unstable
Ghoul, Fiery War Axe, Armorsmith or Slam after my mulligan. Godlento had his
Knife Juggler + two 1 mana minion, but of course he made the right call on
getting his Juggler out first. T7 hunter is a very bad match up against patron
warrior, you basically rely on your opponent having no answers to your minions
and you try and get all your minions out fast. The warrior actually has a lot
of ways to deal with 1 health minions so if you have the coin, you must go
for the Juggler play.
In the mid game, the Scientist got the Snake Trap out instead of Explosive
Trap - 50%
The Juggler and Snake Trap combo killed off my Armorsmith but didn't hit my
Acrolyte or face - RNGesus
I felt the Huffer RNG at the end was okay. He had a high percentage of drawing
into other damage cards so... Anyways it seemed I had no chance to come back.
I did my best though.
: 第二场
: 应该算是我赛的多一点
: 起手完全没低费生物 天生技到T3-惨
: 但K神也T3才硬币跳生物算是互相卡牌也还好
: 希瓦娜抓小软泥-33% 惨
: 伐木机掉-水晶 -还好 有点影响但影响不大 可接受
: 这场节奏一直不太好 因为中间一直没有低费生物来补曲线
: 只能硬著头皮解场
: 军需官报到-赛到歪头 基本上绝对是当时的最佳解 其他可能是猫头鹰或一视
: 但来军需官绝对就是赛 没啥好说
: 奉献-奉献反而还好 最后我手上还有圣疗 也就是我有抽四张卡的机率抽到猫头鹰/一视
: 虽然不算高但我觉得也还可接受了
The second game:
I think the luck was on my side a little more. No low cost minions in my
opening hand and I had to hero power till T3 - babyrage. But Godlento also
coined a minion at T3 so I supposed both of our hands were equally bad.
My Sylvanas getting the slime back - 33% (babyrage
The Shredder giving me the Darnassus Aspirant lost me a mana crystal, it had
an effect but not much so handleable.
I felt the tempo of this game was not good for me becuase I didn't have low
cost minions during my mid game to fill in the mana curve. I basically had to
try my best to stay in the game.
Topdecking the Quartermaster was really lucky, basically it was the best card
to handle the situation at the time. Other possible solutions included the Owl
or Equality but the Quartermaster draw was definitely Esport, nothing else
to say about it.
Consercrate- drawing into the Consercrate was okay, I had Lay on Hands in my
hand so basically I had 4 draws to draw into my Owl or Equality. The chance
wasn't high but I was fine with it.
: 第三场
: 这场其实要等到传送门篇再来讲解
: 我可以先给结论 这场我有大失误 所以输了活该
The third game:
I rather wait till later to talk about this game (when I also discuss the
Unstable Portal). In conclusion I had a very big missplay so I totally
deserved to be punished for it.
: 第四场
: 奴隶打圣骑就这样
: K神第一天赛到不行
: 这场正常发挥 就这样
The fourth game:
Patron against paladin has too much of an advantage. Godlento was lucky on
the first day. This game was pretty ordinary, nothing much to say about it.
: 第五场
: 传到蓝龙超鸟的
: 而且我手牌能卡成那样也是不简单 衰到歪头
: 更不用说戈莫克33%神躲
: 这场打到后来有点不想打了 传送门篇跟失误篇会再认真讲解
: 总之卡牌卡到死 惨到不行
The fifth game:
Getting the Malygos from the Portal, as well as having a really bad opening
was pretty awful. Not to mention the Gormok 33% dodging my Flamecannon. I
was thinking of giving up this game towards the end. I'll talk more about
the Portal and the missplays later but basically very bad hand at the start.
: 第六场
: 双方手牌差不多
: 这边我要特别提个 我起手抓猫头鹰是非常针对K神的牌组的抓法
: 事实也奏效了 很多时候选手比赛看起手抓牌
: 反而可以看出很多这选手到底强不强的资讯
: 这场我觉得K神最后失误害他输了
: 失误篇我再来提
The sixth game:
Both players had decent cards.
I'd like to mention that I kept the Owl at the start to counter Godlento's
deck and it turned out to be a good mulligan. A lot of times when you watch
how a player mulligans, you can actually tell whether that player is good
or not. This game I think Godlento had a missplay at the end which cost him
the game. I'll talk about it later.
: 第七场
: 传送门传到3费以下非一血生物就结果论来说都行 这机率我算不出来XD
: 但算是传到相当不错的东西(如果K神有2费嘲讽 3费技师就差很多 但没有)
: 烈焰火炮-50%
: 大法师-其实这边保守的算就好 我们只算我大到爆炸的生物
: 爆爆/炎魔/大法师 抽中的机率大概是20%吧
: 第二个传送门-相当赛 刚好补足曲线 但我觉得这张已经不太影响结果了
The seventh game:
The Portal getting you a minion that is below 3 mana and not 1 health is good
enough of an outcome. Sorry I don't know how to calculate the percentage of
this happening XD. (it would be a different story if Godlento had the 2 mana
taunt and 3 mana blackwing technician, but he didn't)
Flamecannon - 50%
Antonidas - actually if you think about the percentage of the Deathlord pulling
out one of my really large minions (let's just consider Dr. Boom, Ragnaros
and Antonidas) it was roughly about 20%.
However, the second Portal was really lucky because it was able to fill up
my mana curve at the time, though I feel that card didn't really matter that
much.
: 最后一场基本上就是我赛到歪头
: 其实最后一场觉得蛮遗憾的 我跟K神前面都尽全力互有来往
: 最后一场却靠着运气赢了K神 总觉得因此会抹灭我们这个精采的BO7
: (最后跟K神握手后情不自禁的说了:sorry for last game)
: 把言论导向运气游戏 真心觉得这种感觉很差
: 说真的这次比赛我觉得我跟K神都值得这次冠军
: K神非常努力地在短时间组出龙族套牌
: 我自己银白出来到上飞机前只有50小时左右 大概只睡8小时其他时间都在试牌吧
: (完全不睡觉反而效率会超低)
Basically I had all the luck I need in the last game, which was also a shame
because we were having such great matches. Having to win like this sort of
undone the great BO7 that we were having. (I couldn't help to say "sorry for
last game" when I shook hands with Godlento at the end)
Having all the talks on the luck of the game really upsets me. Let's be honest,
I feel like myself and Godlento all deserved to be the winner of this
tournament. He tried really hard to construct the dragon decks in such short
time and I only had 50 hours from when TGT came out to the time of boarding
the plane to try out different decks. I only slept for 8 hours. (if I had no
sleep then my I would be really inefficient)
: 虽然我不是很喜欢这套法师 但短短的两天内 我试的许多其他套牌更令我不满意
: (我试牌至少一副20场+)
: 德鲁伊的话我是觉得龙族体质太优秀了 体质优秀的其他生物太多蛮克制德鲁伊套牌的
: 新卡其实就我个人观点
: 没有真的帮到德鲁伊多少 本来组了一副感觉还不错的野兽德 但最后打的几场状况很差
: 就只好放弃了 所以这次才没带爱将德鲁伊(而且我原本以为会有一堆圣骑)
: 只有我跟K神直接三副里面选了现在最op的圣骑(也许比奴隶差一点点)
: 而且我们两个都没出现多少重大失误
: 谁赢了都不奇怪 只能说我最后运气比他好一点 赢下了最后一分
Even though I didn't really like this mage deck I brought, during the 2
days I tried a lot of other different decks which performed worse than this
mage deck. (normally I would play 20+ games to try out each deck)
In terms of not bring druid, I feel the new dragon cards are just too good in
stats and a lot of other good quality minions seem to be countering the new
druid cards.
My personal opinion is that the new cards didn't really help druid that much.
I did construct a beast druid deck but after a few games playing it I felt the
deck wasn't strong enough so I gave that up. This is why I didn't take druid
(and originally I thought there would be a lot of paladins as well).
Only myself and Godlento brought the OP paladin (perhaps it is just slightly
weaker than patron) and we didn't have a lot of crucial missplays so whoever
won wouldn't be too surprising. I can only say I had that extra bit of luck at
the end and won the last game.
: 其实pavel这次也打得很好
: 但他没测试新牌 猎人在这个meta几乎是一摊死水
: 他就输在牌组的准备上输人一大截 最后猎人被K神穿爆
Actually Pavel played pretty well too but he wasn't testing any new cards.
Hunter in this current meta is basically not that good anymore. His deck
preparation was really behind so at the end his hunter got destroyed by
Godlento.
: (传送门篇)
: 很多人看到传送门传出传说就觉得太神了吧
: 但传送门传出最好的东西其实是刚好最符合你现在需求的生物
: 以节奏法来说很多时候其实比较希望传出标准白板生物
: 或者刚好符合现在场面的特殊生物(大怪-BGH 嘲讽-黑骑 打秘密圣-魔鼓山)
Unstable Portal:
A lot of people seem to feel the Portal giving you a lengendary is the best
result, however the best minion given by the Portal is actually something
that fits your current need. For example, a lot of times for tempo mage you
would prefer the portal giving you some standard normal minions or tech cards
that deal with the board (big minion-BGH, taunt-black night, secret
paladin-mogu'shan
: 接下来一只一只解说
: 红龙-非常好的结果 不过效果只扣6滴 所以其他大只生物可能比较好一点
: 渔人-废物 但大幅提升最后lethal的机率
: XX勇士-算是相当优质的结果了 刚好二费可以出出去
: 但因为这场打得太贪心失误没这样做而输
: 基本上4/5费白板等级生物都跟这只的意思差不多
: 加兹鲁维-废物 5费3/6超惨
: 蓝龙-如果我手牌三四费有东西出还不错 但我那手牌配上这只就是废物中的废物
: 尤其对上快攻你花了2mana却什么也没做到 等于拱手让敌人胜利 废物
: 奈幽蛛网领主-还不错 但如我上面提到 只要1-3费的非一血有一攻的生物都行
: 斯塔拉格-差不多就是最好的结果了 可能赠恨者比他好一点而已
I'll talk about the Portal results one by one:
Alexstrazsa - very good outcome but the effect only deals 6 damage so other
big minions would probably be a little better.
Murloc - useless card but actually increases my chance of lethal at the end.
Saraad - a really good result and you can play it on turn 2. But I got greedy
and didn't play it on turn 2 (missplay) and eventually I lost the game.
Basically getting any 4/5 mana standard minions would be similar to getting
this card.
Gazlow - useless too. 5 mana 3/6 is so bad.
Malygos - If I had cards that could be played with 3 or 4 mana then it would
be good. But looking at my hand this card was basically useless too.
Especially when you were up against aggro and you spent 2 mana but didn't
achieve much. You basically give away the victory.
Nerub'ar weblord - pretty good, like I said before as long as it's a minion
that costs 1-3 mana, not 1 health and has 1 attack.
Stalagg - essentially the best result, perhaps Loatheb would be slightly
better.
: 整体来说其实一半好一半坏
: 我是不觉得我传送门就有特别强啦
: 神运的传送门是要配合你手上的法力曲线完美演出
: 才称得上是神运
: 不然很多时候就只是传说来雷门而已
Overall the Portal is half good half bad. I don't particularly feel my portal
is stronger than other people. A really lucky portal has to match your current
mana curve to be deemed a lucky portal. Otherwise a lot of times you just
get cards that you cannot play (legendary or not).
: (失误篇)
: 先从自己的失误讲起
: 1.第一天龙的顺序下错了 但最后对面伤害超高 不影响结果
Missplays:
I'll start with my own missplays.
1. First day the dragon was played in the wrong order, but at the end my
opponent had exceeding amounts of damage so it didn't really matter.
: 2.圣v.sK神那场 军需官下来之后应该全部打脸 不应该去换
: 为什么哩?
: 这种时候我们只需要考虑AOE对吧 有可能解场的是
2. Paladin vs. Godlento:
When I played my Quartermaster, I should go face with everything instead of
trading. Why? at this time we really only need to consider AOE and some
possible board clears include the following:
: 1.火占+Nova 这种结果的话 我主动去换会剩一只2/2军需官
: 也就是我前一回合少3伤害 后一回合多两伤害 以要拼击杀来说 不换比较好
: 2.费伦祝福+Nova 同上
: 3.伊瑟拉的觉醒(圣光炸弹看K神其他比赛就大概确定不可能放)
: 有打脸K神剩三滴 没办法丢 没打脸六滴可以丢 绝对是不换比较好
: 还好K神没抽到觉醒 不然这手失误很大
)1. Pyromancer + Nova
In this case if I traded then I would have a 2/2 Quartermaster left, which
means the round before I would lose 3 damage and the round after I have 2 more
damage. If I wanted to kill off my opponent asap, not trading is better.
)2. Valen's Chosen + Nova
as above.
)3. Ysera Awakens
(looking at Godlento's other match, you would know he didn't have Lightbomb)
If I went for face, he would have 3 life remaining and couldn't Awakens. If
I didn't go face he would have 5 life remaining and could Awakens. So it
seems like not trading would be the better choice. Luckily he didn't have
Awakens, otherwise it would be a crucial missplay.
: 这边顺便提一下 看比赛我常常很凶的狂打脸
: 那是因为我认真考虑过对手能做的所有可能性
: 我会怎么样被惩罚? 有多少张可以惩罚我? 值不值得在这个对战组合去冒这个风险?
: 这些都需要非常长期的经验累积 跟对所有职业牌组很深的了解
On a side note, when I play in tournaments a lot of times I just go face.
This is because I have thoroughly evaluated all the possibilities my opponent
could do. How would I get punished? How many cards could punish me? Is it
worth taking the risk in this match up? This requires long time experience
and understanding of all the different decks.
: 3.法师v.sK神战士
: 看到勇士又进镜像 想贪一个(裸下会遇到亚历史卓莎的勇士/斩杀/盾猛)
: 但这样打超级无敌世界亏节奏
: 先不说二费什么事都没做(丢传送门跟pass差不多)
: 接下来回合还要点天生技才能发动抽牌效果
: 而抽牌效果对节奏牌组来说是不太重要的
: 这场就在前面打错 祕法飞弹又没打中嘲讽龙的状态下输了
: 当然没打错也不一定赢 但很有赢的可能性!
3. Mage vs. Godlento's warrior
Looking at the Saraad and the Mirror Image in my hand, I went for the greedy
play (If I went for the Saraad, it could be cleared by Alexstrasza's Champion/
Execute/Shield slam), but then this play would lose me a lot of tempo. Let's
not talk about not doing anything on turn 2 (playing the Portal is similar to
passing the turn). I still have to use my hero power the next turn to get
value out of Saraad, but then the effect of card draw is actually not that
important for tempo decks. I had that missplay at the start and then the Arcane
Missiles didn't hit the target I wanted (the taunt dragon), so I lost at the
end. Obviously I'm not saying if I didn't missplay at the time I would
definitely win the game, but I think I did have a chance of winning.
: 4.法师v.sK神圣骑
: 这边我要先自首
: 我本来想丢蓝龙出去 结果他突然移动位置 就丢到苍兰龙了...
: 但我后来再仔细想想 蓝龙在我已经失血过多的情况下 只有进我唯一一张祕法飞弹有用
: 苍兰龙却能帮助滤唤焰者 所以要我再打一次认真想 我可能还是不太确定丢哪张
: 以结果论来说 丢出蓝龙 对面一定全打我脸 所以不知道我可以撑到哪时候
: 照后面进牌看来好像有机会又很微妙
4. Mage vs. Godlento's paladin.
I'll turn myself in first. I thought about throwing out the Malygos but then
for some reason it moved position so I ended up throwing out the Azure Drake...
But after evaluating the situation closely, the m\Malygos would only have an
effect when I draw the only Arcane Missiles in my deck (not to mention I was
actually pretty low on health), but the Azure Drake could potentially help me
draw into my Flamewaker. So if you were to let me replay it again, I'm still
not sure which one is the better play. Looking at the outcome, if I played
Malygos then my opponent would go full face and I have no idea how long I can
hang in there. But looking at the card draws I got, it seem to give me
some chance of coming back but I'm not so sure.
: 5.关于Trump失误(奴隶v.s术)
: 食尸鬼绝对不是一张你到了T6还能放在场上的卡
: 就算对面有战斗狂怒 你炸掉跟对面来撞还是你炸掉比较好(对面撞可以先出生物)
: 跟不用提战哥白沫可以冲出来了 尤其巨人打奴隶算是优势对决
: 这种时候一定是打得越保守越好 而且多抽一张牌我不觉得在T7后能做到多少事情
: 当然我觉得这场打到这个状况 其实trump已经输定了 所以可能不太影响吧
5. Regarding Trump's missplay (patron v.s warlock)
The Unstable Ghoul is not a minion that you would want to see alive on the
board at T6. Even if your opponent had battle rage, Shadowflame it vs. your
opponent attack with the Ghoul, I would think Shadowflame would be a much
better play. (The Ghoul attacks could potentially allow more patrons to get
in here). Not to mention the possibility of Warsong + Frothing combo and
especially handlock is favoured against patron match up. Under these
circumstances it would be better to play more carefully, besides I don't think
drawing an extra card at T7 can do you much. But I feel at that situation
Trump will lose eventually so probably wouldn't matter much.
: 6.关于K神失误(牧师v.s术)
: 在我用暗焰的前一回合 K神贪了两个
: 一个是选择不撞5攻生物 最后刚好被我爽炸
: 另外一个是不选择buff自己二费嘲讽 而决定再出一只生物
: 这边要来解说一下为什么buff比较好
: 双嘲讽为什么比单嘲讽好?
: 单嘲讽会怕猫头鹰/灵魂虹吸
: 但有在看我之前比赛就会知道我没有虹吸(基本上应该推得出来)
: 猫头鹰一张还两张就没有那么绝对 但以蓝龙术的正常配置来说
: 通常是放一张 而且前几场我也有快把牌库抽完 大概可以猜得出来我没有第二张的
: 双嘲讽怕的则是扫场 我的地狱烈焰/暗影之焰都还没有出现
: 两个都可以把K神的场面清的相当干净 暗焰我剩两只 地狱剩一只4/1
6. Regarding Godlento's missplay (priest v.s warlock)
At the turn before I used my Shadowflame, Godlento was greedy on two occasions.
One was not choosing to attack my 5 attack minion (which allowed me to
Shadowflame), the other was not choosing to buff his 2 mana taunt but decided
to put out another minion.
Let's talk about why buffing would be better.
Why is double taunt better than single taunt? because single taunt is afraid
of the Owl and Siphon Soul. But if you've been watching at my games you would
know I didn't have Siphon Soul in my deck (should be able to extrapolate
that infomation). How many owls in a deck is not definite but normally in a
Malygoslcok it would be one owl. Besides a few games beforehand I nearly
emptied my deck so you could again guess that I didn't have a second owl.
Double taunt is afraid of board clear AOEs and I haven't played both
of my Hellfire / Shadowflame, both AOE could clear the board to a certain
degree. Shadowflame: I keep my 2 minions, Hellfire: would leave a 4/1 on board.
: 再来提到如果有猫头鹰 双嘲讽也只需要再补3点伤害 一样可以达成lethal
: 而三点对蓝龙术来讲并不是非常困难的一件事
: 综合以上分析 我觉得这边单嘲讽上buff一定是比较好的选择
Also if I had an owl, I only needed 3 extra damage to lethal even with the
double taunt on board. Getting that 3 extra damage is not particularly hard
for a Malygoslock. In conclusion I think buffing the single taunt has to
be the better choice.
: 如果对相关的分析还有兴趣可以看我粉丝团上次大赛的检讨/牌组文
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: 我觉得现在炉石比较可怜的地方在于
: 赛评只敢揣测现在选手在防守什么
: 而不敢判断这决定是好的或坏的(而且赛评跟选手的水准其实差非常多)
: 所以很多不太理解的人就会觉得 喔~他这样打好像也没错啊
: 只是运气比较差所以输了 错了 很多时候都绝对有机率上比较好的选择
: 甚至有些时候可以根据对方出过的牌判断对面手上有那些东西
: 很多选手比赛也是失误连连 但观众看不出来
: 很多选手比赛打的超级稳健完美 但观众也看不出来
: 于是炉石比赛的记忆点就变成了topdeck rng
: 比赛赢的人就都是运气好 输的就是运气不好
I feel like in the current Hearthstone world, the casters could only guess
what the players are defending against but they don't really comment on
whether the choice is good or bad (and normally the level between the casters
and players is substantial). As a result, a lot of people who don't really
understand the situation would think "oh perhaps this play was good as well,
but you lost because you had bad luck." WRONG! a lot of times there are
potentially better plays and choices and you could even determine what cards
your opponent may have in his/her hand if you look at how they play their
cards.
A lot of players have a lot of missplays but the audience don't see it.
A lot of players play greatly or even perfectly but the audience still don't
see it. And this results in people remembering the topdeck rng of every
hearthstone tournaments. You win a tournament with good luck but if you lose
then it's bad luck.
: 打这么多只是想告诉大家
: 炉石绝对是个需要运气才能赢的游戏
: 但炉石同样包含了相当大量的技术成分
: 只是非常难看得出来
: 而技术高超的玩家如K神 firebat
: 你会发现他们常常在大赛进到四强 去查战绩你会发现他们胜率明显比其他人高一截
: 难道这些也都是靠运气累积出来的吗??
: 希望大家能好好想想
: 最后我想说
: 今年一整年我打进了10多个大大小小的资格赛
: 拿了台湾区资格(blizzcon太紧张打很差真的很对不起台湾观众)
: 铁人论坛冠军 这两次国际大比赛冠军
: 我认为我运气的确相当不错
: 但我对我的实力也是绝对非常有自信的
: 如果这些例子都不能说服你炉石需要相当程度的技术
: 那我也找不出更好的例子了
After typing this long post, I just want to tell you all that you definitely
need the luck to win in Hearthstone, but at the same time a lot of skills
and techniques are also involved. It may just be hard to spot.
Some professional players like Godlento and Firebat, you will notice they are
often in the final 4 in a lot of tournaments but if you look up their results,
you will find their win rates are a lot better than other players.
Do you really think they rely on luck to have such high win rates? I would
like everyone to really think about it. Lastly, this year I've participated in
around 10 qualifying tournaments whether big or small. Previously I won the
BlizzCon World Championship Korea & Taiwan Qualifier (sorry to my fans that
I was quite nervous and played really bad in BlizzCon) as well as the
IronForum Night Tournament. Fortunately I think my luck is indeed pretty good,
but I'm also confident in my skills and strength in Hearthstone.
If these examples cannot persuade you to think that Hearthstone still does
require a certain degree of skills then I guess I couldn't find any other
better examples to illustrate this.