https://www.ft.com/content/7eef99e6-6bd5-4e84-85c1-ec77cc0671af
金融时报对全世界2024局势进行分析。
其中，对于赖清德当选，中国是否会动武。
Will a change of president in Taiwan spark a Chinese attack?
No. Many people inside and outside Taiwan worry more about war these days,
thanks to China’s expanding military manoeuvres. The frontrunner in January’
s presidential election, the ruling Democratic Progressive party’s Lai
Ching-te, also has a very different background to the incumbent Tsai Ing-wen.
But Lai has been clear he would follow Tsai’s cautious China policy stance
— leaving Beijing with no pretext for an assault. The Chinese leadership
under President Xi Jinping still seems to believe, too, that it has a chance
to coerce Taiwan into unification without fighting — by stepping up military
intimidation, political infiltration, economic lures and international
isolation.
Kathrin Hille
金融时报分析，
中国还是会持续采行军事恐吓、政治渗透、经济诱惑、营造国际孤立等手段，
避免发生战争。
所以战国策网军们也不用再带风向了，
这个金融时报可是在12年前背刺蔡英文的那个金融时报，
人家现在都支持蔡英文-赖清德路线了，
你们还要继续当中国侧翼吗？