[讨论] 英国预计月底会有百万人感染omicron

楼主: Tosca (hi)   2021-12-11 10:27:18
https://tinyurl.com/2p8encf4
英国政府官方网站声明稿
(我只节录我想节录的 想看更多请看连结)
Mr Speaker, there are 3 reasons why the Omicron variant is a threat.
有三个理由让Omicron会是项威胁
The first is that it’s far more transmissible than the Delta variant
第一 远比Delta更强的传染力
We can see this most starkly when looking at how many days it takes for the
number of infections to double for each variant.
For Delta, this was around every 7 days, but for Omicron, based on the latest
data from here and around the world, our latest analysis is that it’s around
between 2.5 and 3 days.
Delta大约每七天 确诊数会翻倍
Omicron只需要2.5-3天
Although there are only 568 confirmed Omicron cases in the UK, we know that
the actual number of infections will be significantly higher.
目前英国只有568例Omicron报告
但我们相信实际感染人数远多于此
The UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) estimates that the number of infections
will be around 20 times higher than the number of confirmed cases and so the
number of infections is closer to 10,000.
目前估计实际感染人数大约是确诊个案的20倍
所以实际感染目前推估约10000人
UKHSA estimate that at the current observed doubling rate of between 2.5 and
3 days, by the end of this month infections could exceed a million.
到这个月底 英国会超过一百万人感染
Second, severity.
第二 严重度
Even if severity is lower or the same as Delta, high transmissibility means
the Omicron variant can still have a severe impact with the threat of more
hospitalisations and unsustainable pressure on the NHS.
就算Omicron的严重度和Delta相同或是更轻微
超强的传染力仍然会对医疗系统造成无法承担的负荷
Third, we’ve been looking closely at what the Omicron variant means for our
vaccination programme.
第三 疫苗对Omicron的效果
New laboratory data that has emerged in the last 24 hours suggests that there
is lower immunity against Omicron from vaccination when compared to the Delta
variant, so that 2 doses of a vaccine is less effective at reducing
transmission in the community.
目前看到的数据已经可以得知
对比Delta
两剂疫苗对Omicron的防护力 效果更低
So people aged 40 and over – and those in high-risk groups – will be able
to get their booster jab from 3 months after their second dose.
40岁以上 第二剂后三个月就能打第三剂
以下是建议应对措施
First: guidance on working from home.
在家工作指引
Second: certification
疫苗护照
Third: face coverings.
口罩
Fourth: as Omicron spreads in the community, we will also introduce daily
tests for contacts instead of isolation so we keep people safe while
minimising the disruption to daily life.
检验取代隔离
尽量减少对民众的日常生活活动干扰
Fifth: communications.
We’ll be urging caution in all our communications on COVID-19, and keep
urging people to get their booster doses and to follow the little steps that
can to help get this virus under control.
沟通和教育民众 遵守指引 快去打第三剂
Now, as we face this new threat, we must draw on the same spirit that’s got
us here, strengthen our defences and think about what we can do to get this
virus under control.
全新威胁
大家继续努力
作者: holyhelm (老鹰 鸭霸 西米露)   2021-12-11 10:28:00
世界怎么追得上病毒
作者: chen740530 (chen740530)   2021-12-11 10:32:00
症状轻微的病毒 不重要了
作者: dragonjj (简简单单的伤过 就不算白)   2021-12-11 10:39:00
谢谢分享 但是打三剂确实能防这新病毒吗?我是怀疑拉我打两剂了 我在观望一下 虽然也不到时间打第三季但是讲实在的 我有点不想打第三剂 除非证明第三剂有效不然跟第二剂一样 打屁阿 我不想掉头发阿!
作者: greenpine (橘子好吃^^)   2021-12-11 10:41:00
看有没重症才重要 要是流感化 就结束了
作者: dragonjj (简简单单的伤过 就不算白)   2021-12-11 10:44:00
这第三剂只能说前期有效 难道要无止尽加打吗?如果是这样我选择等待新型疫苗或是自然感染 喔 别误会 我已经打两剂了 我是B仔 也超过14添了
作者: HydraGG (嗨爪)   2021-12-11 10:52:00
小感冒
作者: warchiefdodo (ming)   2021-12-11 10:56:00
同一年要打三针的话,疫苗不太行啊,明年再打第三针
作者: downtoearth (东方耳号:)   2021-12-11 10:56:00
西班牙流感 大流行 终结之谜要解开了吗
作者: shopping0802 (瞎皮)   2021-12-11 11:02:00
原来大家都是四剂福音战士
作者: CavendishJr (花学姐最高)   2021-12-11 11:09:00
英国又在帮大家示范疫苗的效果
作者: Landius (原来我是漆原派啊)   2021-12-11 11:34:00
人类说真的没赢过几次啊,都是病毒变化到搞人类但不会搞到大条的平衡
作者: demitri (forever)   2021-12-11 11:54:00
问题是流感传染力远不如omicron

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