一句话：
除了地皮会冒油的国家会有美国跑来帮你坦以外，我没看过任何国家喊独立
却寄望在“敌人不会打我”上头的。
这种人我只能请出1950年的师枢安来解决：
http://blog.udn.com/ess800148/11171338
Cantel 3.
As new arrival Taipei I am being given the "treatment" by Formosan
Independence "Movement"（台湾独立运动）. Conversations with Peter Huang and
Philip Ng and perusal of their propaganda have served only to establish their
utter lack of realism, absence of any militant and armed popular foundation,
and complete reliance on US to achieve their aims and assure their livelihood
forever. (味其言观其文，可知其昧于现实，无可战之兵，复将自身理想及其生存全然寄
望于美国的援助之上。)
It seemed desirable to attempt to straighten out their thinking in relation
to China scene as to US, and to prevent misconception as to nature of any
personal relations with me.
In brief, they were told in friendly manner, as my personal opinion, that
Formosans themselves, unarmed, could not get rid of Chinese now on Island（他
们被委婉地告知：根据我个人的意见，福尔摩沙人在没有自己的武装基础的状况下，无法
摆脱中国政权掌控）; US would require several divisions of troops plus
supporting naval and air forces to take and keep control over Island, a
responsibility which we are not prepared to assume（美国得生出几个师的军队跟海
空支援资源来掌控这个岛，而美国不打算负这个责任）; for time being any hope for
independence lay with Nationalists not with Communists, and thus measures
designed weaken Nationalists merely served increase chances Communist
control, so Formosans must recognize facts, not avoid them（所以福尔摩沙人必须
面对现实而不是逃避现实）, and they should not forget that Formosa fits into
large pattern from which it cannot be separated arbitrarily（而且福尔摩沙人也
不该忘记，福尔摩沙不能自以为可以独自于世界之外运作）; and although US
sympathetic to Formosan aspirations, there were very few grounds for optimism
now and foreseeable future.
……离1950又远了一年，某些人还是跟当年师枢安碰到的那些ULoR一样，一点进步也没有
台湾独立？哈。