台湾的未来我不知道
但是老外已经预言了
Cantel 3. As new arrival Taipei I am being given the "treatment" by Formosan
Independence "Movement". Conversations with Peter Huang and Philip Ng and
perusal of their propaganda have served only to establish their utter lack of
realism, absence of any militant and armed popular foundation, and complete
reliance on US to achieve their aims and assure their livelihood forever.
味其言观其文，可知其昧于现实，无可战之兵，复将自身理想及其生存全然寄望于美国的
援助之上。
It seemed desirable to attempt to straighten out their thinking in relation to
China scene as to US, and to prevent misconception as to nature of any
personal
relations with me. In brief, they were told in friendly manner, as my personal
opinion, that Formosans themselves, unarmed, could not get rid of Chinese now
on Island
他们被委婉地告知：根据我个人的意见，福尔摩沙人在没有自己的武装基础的状况下，无
法摆脱中国政权掌控
US would require several divisions of troops plus supporting naval and air
forces to take and keep control over Island, a responsibility which we are not
prepared to assume
美国得生出几个师的军队跟海空支援资源来掌控这个岛，而美国不打算负这个责任
for time being any hope for independence lay with Nationalists not with
Communists, and thus measures designed weaken Nationalists merely served
increase chances Communist control, so Formosans must recognize facts, not
avoid them
所以福尔摩沙人必须面对现实而不是逃避现实
and they should not forget that Formosa fits into large pattern from which it
cannot be separated arbitrarily
而且福尔摩沙人也不该忘记，福尔摩沙不能自以为可以独自于世界之外运作