Intel from a Ukrainian officer about a meeting in Putin’s lair in Urals.
Oligar
chs convened there so no one would flee. Putin is furious, he thought that
the w
hole war would be easy and everything would be done in 1-4 days.
乌克兰官方情资显示，俄国的权力核心们被叫到乌拉尔据点来保证没人会逃跑；
在该据点的一场会议中普丁怒不可遏，因为依他原本的估计，这场战争可以轻取
乌克兰且在一到四日内尘埃落定。
Russians didn’t have a tactical plan. The war costs about $20 bln/day. There
ar
e rockets for 3-4 days at most, they use them sparingly. They lack weapons,
the
Tula and 2 Rotenberg plants can’t physically fulfil the orders for weapons.
Rif
les and ammo are the most they can do.
俄军并未制订战术计画且所费不赀(每多一天就必须多花200亿美元)，更糟的是，
依照目前使用速度，火箭存量即使节省著使用也只剩三到四日。三个兵工厂无法
生产足够的武器，供给这二十万军队步枪与步枪子弹是他们目前能力的极限。
The next Russian weapons can be produced in 3-4 months – if even that. They
hav
e no raw materials. What was previously supplied mainly from Slovenia,
Finland a
nd Germany is now cut off.
即使现在下单，下一批武器(应该指火箭等重武器)也要三至四个月后才能交货；
但现在面临斯洛文尼亚、德国与芬兰的原料禁运，也无法开工。
If Ukraine manages to hold the Russians off for 10 days, then the Russians
will
have to enter negotiations. Because they have no money, weapons, or
resources. N
evertheless, they are indifferent about the sanctions.
如果乌克兰可以迟滞俄军达到十天，那俄罗斯将因为金钱、武器与资源的匮乏，
被迫走向谈判桌。即便如此，俄国还是对于制裁面不改色。
Alpha Spec Ops have been near Kyiv since the 18th February. The goal was to
take
Kyiv and instal a puppet regime. They are preparing provocations against
innoce
nt civilians – women and children – to sow panic. This is their trump card.
俄军的王牌-阿法小队(类似美军的海豹六队，超一流精锐) 自二月十八日起已逼
近基辅周边，准备对对妇女小孩恐怖袭击来制造恐慌，以达成夺取首都并扶植魁
儡政府的目的。
Russia’s whole plan relies on panic – that the civilians and armed forces
surr
ender and Zelensky flees. They expect Kharkiv to surrender first so the other
ci
ties would follow suit to avoid bloodshed. The Russians are in shock of the
fier
ce resistance they have encountered.
俄军打算一到四日内搞定乌克兰的战略主要倚赖于制造恐慌。只要恐慌的种子种
下就能使总统逃跑，军队人民投降。俄军原本预期Kharkiv城会率先投降，并对其
他城市造成骨牌效应，但俄军遭遇的勇猛反抗，让他们惊诧不已。
The Ukrainians must avoid panic! The missile strikes are for intimidation,
the R
ussians fire them at random to “accidentally” hit residential buildings to
mak
e the attack look larger than it really is. Ukraine must stay strong and we
must
provide assistance!
乌克兰人必须镇定!基辅落下的飞弹是为了恐吓人民，俄国故意胡乱发射并让飞弹
“意外的”打中民宅来制造攻击规模巨大的假象。乌克兰请务必坚强而我们世界各
国也必须提供支援!
※ 引述《koko0123 (KoKo)》之铭言：
: https://bit.ly/3BUimtZ
: 克宫内部会议流出:普丁对1-4日内不能攻陷乌克兰表示震怒！！
: 懂俄罗斯原文的可以在Twitter文件的消息来源对照看看~
: Intel from a Ukrainian officer about a meeting in Putin’s lair in Urals. Oligar
: chs convened there so no one would flee. Putin is furious, he thought that the w
: hole war would be easy and everything would be done in 1-4 days.
: Russians didn’t have a tactical plan. The war costs about $20 bln/day. There ar
: e rockets for 3-4 days at most, they use them sparingly. They lack weapons, the
: Tula and 2 Rotenberg plants can’t physically fulfil the orders for weapons. Rif
: les and ammo are the most they can do.
: The next Russian weapons can be produced in 3-4 months – if even that. They hav
: e no raw materials. What was previously supplied mainly from Slovenia, Finland a
: nd Germany is now cut off.
: If Ukraine manages to hold the Russians off for 10 days, then the Russians will
: have to enter negotiations. Because they have no money, weapons, or resources. N
: evertheless, they are indifferent about the sanctions.
: Alpha Spec Ops have been near Kyiv since the 18th February. The goal was to take
: Kyiv and instal a puppet regime. They are preparing provocations against innoce
: nt civilians – women and children – to sow panic. This is their trump card.
: Russia’s whole plan relies on panic – that the civilians and armed forces surr
: ender and Zelensky flees. They expect Kharkiv to surrender first so the other ci
: ties would follow suit to avoid bloodshed. The Russians are in shock of the fier
: ce resistance they have encountered.
: The Ukrainians must avoid panic! The missile strikes are for intimidation, the R
: ussians fire them at random to “accidentally” hit residential buildings to mak
: e the attack look larger than it really is. Ukraine must stay strong and we must
: provide assistance!
: 乌克兰官员关于在乌拉尔的普京巢穴举行会议的情报。寡头们聚集在那里，所以没有人会逃
: 跑。普京怒不可遏，他认为整个战争会很容易，一切都会在1-4天内完成。
: 俄罗斯人没有战术计划。战争耗资约 200 亿美元/天。火箭最多3-4天，他们很少使用它们
: 。他们缺乏武器，Tula 和 2 Rotenberg 工厂无法实际履行武器订单。步枪和弹药是他们能
: 做的最多的。
: 下一个俄罗斯武器可以在 3-4 个月内生产——即使是这样。他们没有原材料。以前主要来
: 自斯洛文尼亚、芬兰和德国的供应现已被切断。
: 如果乌克兰设法阻止俄罗斯人 10 天，那么俄罗斯人将不得不进入谈判。因为他们没有钱、
: 武器或资源。然而，他们对制裁无动于衷。
: 自 2 月 18 日以来，Alpha Spec Ops 一直在基辅附近。目标是占领基辅并建立傀儡政权。
: 他们正准备对无辜平民——妇女和儿童——进行挑衅，以播下恐慌。这是他们的王牌。
: 俄罗斯的整个计划依赖于恐慌——平民和武装部队投降，泽连斯基逃跑。他们希望哈尔科夫
: 首先投降，以便其他城市效仿以避免流血事件。俄罗斯人对他们遇到的激烈抵抗感到震惊。
: 乌克兰人必须避免恐慌！导弹袭击是为了恐吓，俄罗斯人随意发射它们以“意外”击中住宅
: 楼，使攻击看起来比实际更大。乌克兰必须保持强大，我们必须提供帮助！
: 感觉这次胜负的关键在于,
: 俄罗斯当局完全错判了形势,
: 没有意料到遇到如此强烈的反抗,
: 而且明显可能太久没有打大仗了,
: 缺乏系统化的战略和后援供应,
: 完全没有当年希特勒德军那种杀人不眨眼的气势。
:
: