楼主:
Yjizz (饶惹偶ㄚ激湿)
2025-09-16 23:25:20MLB 晋级趋势
(x=晋级季后赛 y=分区冠军 WCGB=外卡差 STRK=连胜/败场)
(DIV分区冠军, POST季后赛, LDS/LCS/WS分区/联盟/世界大赛 获胜机率-Fangraph)
(后面机率有多组模型 且为变动 仅取一组供参考)
AL NEXT WIN WIN WIN WIN
LEADERS W L W% WCGB L10 STRK GAME DIV POST LDS LCS WS
蓝鸟-E 88 62 .587 - 7-3 W5 @ 光芒 97.3% 100.0% 47.2% 23.8% 11.3%
老虎-C 85 65 .567 - 5-5 W1 vs. 守护 98.5% 99.5% 39.5% 17.4% 7.5%
水手-W 82 68 .547 - 9-1 W9 @ 皇家 64.1% 97.2% 37.2% 21.2% 11.5%
AL
WILD NEXT WIN WIN WIN WIN
CARD W L W% WCGB L10 STRK GAME DIV POST LDS LCS WS
洋基 83 67 .553 +1.5 5-5 L2 @ 双城 2.3% 98.9% 33.1% 18.9% 10.6%
红袜 82 68 .547 +1.0 4-6 W1 vs. 勇士 0.4% 91.4% 18.6% 8.4% 3.8%
鼓人 82 69 .543 - 5-5 W1 vs. 条子 34.8% 82.6% 19.2% 8.4% 3.7%