https://es.pn/4g2Eoyb
Jeff Passan写的今年自由球员预览
第三位写到佐佐木朗希
说大家都在猜朗希今年会不会入札，但这些风声充满了矛盾的资讯，然后整理了ESPN目前藉
由国内外来源得到的消息
There has been widespread speculation about whether Sasaki, the 22-year-old phen
om from Japan, will be posted to MLB this winter. The speculation is filled with
contradictory information that does not reflect the current state of Sasaki's p
lans. Here, from domestic and international sources, is what ESPN learned about
where Sasaki stands.
1) Sasaki wanted to enter the posting system, which allows for the transfer of J
apanese players to MLB, last offseason. He would have forfeited hundreds of mill
ions of dollars in a potential future contract. Any player under 25 years old wh
o gets posted is subject to international signing restrictions, which would limi
t Sasaki's potential signing bonus to less than $10 million, as happened when Oh
tani was posted by the Hokkaido Nippon Ham Fighters at 23. Sasaki's team, the Ch
iba Lotte Marines, said no.
2) Sasaki's relationship with the Marines was damaged accordingly, and he wants
to leave again. The Marines plan to decide whether to put Sasaki in the posting
system after the season. Were they to do so before 2026, they would receive a po
sting fee of less than $2 million. By contrast, the Orix Buffaloes received a $5
0.6 million fee from the Dodgers on the deal for Yamamoto, who was 25.
3) Sasaki is in the midst of arguably the worst year of his career but still has
posted elite numbers (2.45 ERA, 91 strikeouts, 25 walks, two home runs in 77 in
nings) and impressed scouts with his stuff, particularly a triple-digit fastball
and devastating splitter. Evaluators still believe Sasaki is one of the most ta
lented pitchers in the world, but he did miss time earlier this season because o
f a right arm injury.
大致提到
1.佐佐木去年就想入札，因为目前大联盟海外签约对25岁以下球员的限制，他会因此损失一
大笔钱。此要求遭罗德拒绝。
2.双方关系因此有些受损，佐佐木今年还是想离开，罗德则计画在赛季后做出决定。如果在
2026年以前放人的话罗德只能拿不到200万美元的转队费，相较之下去年的欧牛拿了5060万
。
3.佐佐木今年投出生涯最差表现，不过球探还是对他的球威印象深刻，特别是速球跟指叉球
。评估者仍然认为他是地表上最有才华的投手之一，但今年也因为右手伤势错过一部分赛季
。
In short: No one knows whether Sasaki will be posted. Lotte controls the entire
process and can keep Sasaki through the 2026 season if it so desires. The decisi
on should come around mid-November, following the conclusion of the Nippon Profe
ssional Baseball season. If Sasaki is posted, the mania will not resemble last y
ear with Yamamoto, when seven large-market teams climbed over one another for hi
s services. With the difference in international bonus money available to teams
negligible, the differentiator in Sasaki's case would not be money. All 30 teams
will scramble to find out what it is if the most intriguing player this winter
finds his way to MLB..
简言之，没人知道佐佐木今年会不会入札。罗德控制了整个过程，他们想的话可以等2026年
再放人。该决定应该会等到11月中旬日职球季结束后出炉。
如果罗德真的放人也不会出现像山本由伸那种7队竞价的热潮。由于各队可以出的签约金相
差没多少，能影响他意向的东西不是钱。假设佐佐木今年就要旅美的话，所有球队都会想找
出这个决定因素是什么。
大概是这样