※ 引述《CoffeeIsGood (咖啡好喝)》之铭言:
: 如题
: 我一直都很好奇为什么球探啊、情蒐小组
: 一定要跑到现场看球
: 电视画面不是拍的更清楚吗?
: 各种慢动作、肢体、表情都很清楚到位
: 我也进场好几次天母跟大巨蛋都坐本垒后面
: 但就觉得也不是看的非常精准球路、进垒位子
: 有时候都还要配合手机看电视画面重播
: 很想知道球探、情蒐一定要到现场看的是什么?
: 谢谢解答
其实你说的没错 要观察球员不用实际到现场看球 看影片就可以
甚至用高速摄影机拍的影片有更多数据可以分析 更适合球探使用
这概念在近年MLB大行其道 很多球团都引进影片分析
取而代之的就是传统球探部门被大幅缩编
最有名的例子是太空人队
https://tinyurl.com/bdhxftpk
The greatest threat to traditional scouting is the Houston Astros, who have
laid off most of their scouts over the past few years. Between 2016 and 2019,
most teams increased the size of their scouting staffs, but the Astros
slashed theirs from 52 to 18, which is less than half the size of any other
club’s. The Astros are the only team in baseball to have done away with its
pro scouting department, which was once overseen by Kevin Goldstein, who now
fulfills a broad range of duties as the team’s special assistant to the GM,
player personnel. In other words, with rare exceptions, no Astros scouts
evaluate pro players in person, and the amateur scouts’ assignments are
often dictated by data that directs them toward the most statistically
intriguing talents.
In August 2017, when the Astros informed eight scouts that they wouldn’t be
brought back, GM Jeff Luhnow called the cut a “reconfiguring,” telling
MLB.com, “This is not any sort of reduction in staff size and scouting,”
and characterizing the news as “normal” and something “that happens every
year.” What the Astros are up to is obviously abnormal, but whether it’s
ill-advised remains to be seen. The Astros have replaced their pro scouts
with a small contingent of “scouting analysts” and roving video technicians
who capture high-speed, high-definition video of players and transmit it to
Minute Maid Park for automated processing that yields insights into
mechanics, pitch grips, and potential areas of improvement. Without having to
travel, the scouting analysts can quickly synthesize several sources of
information to provide a more comprehensive picture of a player’s
performance and potential than it’s typically possible to supply from the
stands.
太空人的做法是职业球员完全不派球探观察 业余球员则先看进阶数据
进阶数据吸引人的才派球探观察
剩下的球技分析部分用影片取代 而大幅提高调查球员的效率
当然太空人的做法是比较极端 但也能看出传统球探的价值已经大幅下降
可能只剩和球员聊天观察球员个性这部分是主要功能了吧