※ 引述《hitokiri (Vivid)》之铭言:
: "此外,朗希他还是在见习如何持续奋战完一个完整的球季的投手。
: (虽然他的实力已经远远超越所谓的见习投手)
: 如果等到受伤故障了再来后悔当初硬撑,
: 导致要浪费运动生涯的精华时期来复健,就太迟了。"
刚刚想到以前 Joel Sherman 写的一篇文章
https://bit.ly/3jNQGi3
Statistical revolution is killing the next generation of MLB fans
完整翻译: #1Re7fPmT (MLB)
...(略)
They are right that batting average reveals far less about a
hitter’s skills than 10 other metrics and that RBIs and runs
scored are so highly dependent on the team around you as to not be
as insightful into an individual as once believed.
随便抓 10 种数据,都比用打击率评价打者有用。打点和得分和队友高度相
关,无法反映出自身的实力。
I agree with it all. Yet, I believe part of the decline in passion
for the major leagues is mixed into how we view these numbers.
这些我都同意,但是我们分析这些数字的方法,同时削减了对MLB的热情。
...(略)
We know now that it is not worthwhile to extend a pitcher into
workloads never before ventured into by that individual to pursue
a no-hitter, and we even have told fans no-hitters are kind of
luck-based and not that sexy because they come with walks or
errors. But hearing someone was working on a no-hitter used to be
a reason to flip on a baseball game. To care. Now, we tell them, “
Nah, don’t care.” It is like telling moviegoers to only care
about Oscar candidates and you are a fool if you invest in the
latest Kevin Hart or Will Ferrell film.
我们知道让球员投球量超过自身极限,以追求无安打并不划算,我们甚至告
诉球迷因为有保送和失误,无安打并不完美。我们通常会因为球员有机会达
成无安打而关注比赛,但现在我们说 “欧,别太在意” 就像是我们告诉电
影迷只要关注奥斯卡入围者,追踪 Kevin Hart, Will Ferrell 的电影很蠢
If I ran a team, I would pull a starter who was beginning to run
in the red, I would use reliever after reliever to attack games
because numbers show that is most effective, I would not re-sign
older players that even my fans have come to love because the flow
charts show imminent decline, I would not care about complete
games or .300 batting averages or 300 wins in any vital way while
coldly deciding what is best, today, for my team. It all makes
sense.
如果我经营一支球队,我会在先发投手快没力时换下他。而且因为数据显示
这样比较有效,我也会用多个短局数后援投手。即使是球迷喜爱他,我也不
会签衰退的老将。我会冷血地做出最佳决定,不在意完投,3成打击率或是
300胜,对我的球队来说,这些点都是合理的。
Unfortunately, it also is hurting the game.
但不幸的,这些做法也在伤害比赛。