国际新秀排第四,前三山本、李政厚、千贺
Name ETA Ht Wt FV Risk
Roki Sasaki SP NPB 2026 20.3 6'3 203 R/R 45+ High
速球 滑球 控球 机制(没指叉)
65/65 40/45 30/45 plus
Full Report(以下大概翻译)
Sasaki cemented a legacy of his own while he was in high school. There was a
stretch when he was asked to throw nearly 500 pitches in an eight-day span,
including all of a 12-inning complete game during which he also hit the
game-winning two-run homer.
朗希高中时就是传说,他曾在8天之间投接近500球,其中一场他12局完投胜然后打出致胜两
分砲
He was the first pick in the 2019 NPB draft and had much more arm strength than
the typical top-of-the-class arm over there, touching 101 and sitting around
97. Sasaki amassed a 1.98 ERA in 77 total innings across 15 starts split
between the Eastern league (the minors in Japan, 5 starts) and Pacific League
(their top league, 10 starts). Remember that we're talking about someone who
was 19 at the time (Sasaki turned 20 in November).
19年NPB一指,他拥有比日本顶级选秀大物更好的刚腕,均速落在97mph,最快能摸到101,
年仅19岁的他在去年两个一二军合记15场先发77局仅有1.98防御率
He mostly sat 93-98 with his fastball in 2021, and already has a swing-and-miss
splitter that has a ridiculous amount of movement considering it averages 87
mph. Sasaki's slider is also very hard, typically 86-88, but he doesn't finish
it as consistently as his splitter. If he ever learns to locate the slider
consistently, then Sasaki could be a dominant big league starter.
去年他的速球落在93-98,此外他还有一颗能制造挥空、均速87mph、位移很夸张的指叉,
他的滑球也很快,86-88,但不如指叉稳定,如果他能够将滑球控的更稳定,他能成为很好
的大联盟投手
His delivery comes at a slower pace (longer arm actions run counter to the way
pitchers are being developed more often in the U.S.), and the track record for
pitchers who throw as hard as Sasaki does, when they're as young as Sasaki was,
adds risk to his profile. But this kid has also performed in one of the world's
top leagues as a teenager and has premium stuff.
他的投球机制节奏较慢(相较于美国的投手有更长的arm actions),此外像朗希这种年轻时
就丢这么快的投手,其实有着比较不好的track record,风险会比较高。
不过不可否认朗希在很年轻的时候就在NPB有一定水准的表现并展现了顶尖的stuff
Were he a college arm, he probably wouldn't be a 1-1 favorite (Casey Mize also
had a split-driven mix but better breaking stuff and command than Sasaki) but
rather is more like a typical top three or five pick.
如果朗希是美国大学投手,他应该不会是状元郎的热门人选(18年的状元Casey Mize有一样
指叉为主的武器库,但他的其他变化球跟控球比朗希好),但会是前三或前五顺位的候选人

今年赛季投完如果维持这个水准应该可以超车前面

控球只有这样?

山本还是比他强 至少是整季都很稳

去年看过，山本跟朗希偏低，李政厚2年50则意外的高

今年球季投完可能对他的评价会不一样吧

如果今年健康屠杀3A日本的话 百大一应该没问题吧

山本跟金河成去年FV也才50

机制这种东西 推翻再推翻 感觉没正确解答

我觉得奇怪的是外野长枪拿的分跟王牌、游击砲一样

李可能真的有点高 虽然他也真的表现很不错了

话说这份排名哪边看的到 我去Fangraph只看到美国本土的

朗希的挥臂机制真的不是美国喜欢的那种连贯式的挥臂QQ

感谢～

前两年还在保护中 评价还没有到很高很正常

揉从21岁开始屠杀日本也才FV45，用日韩职同级来看都

去年季中才拉上来初先发这季投完完整球季再说吧

觉得李分数真的虚高，整个不解

李就是长打弱化版的秋山 更不用想去MLB了

真的不懂Fangraphs怎么那么爱李政厚...

打击还好，但砲瓦给55、50耶 那些打30轰的也给这样

FG感觉对职业成绩比较少的给的比较保守

波拉斯都跟李家人吃饭了 就看两年后去日本还美国而已

均速97+mph结果没有80分不说 还没给倒70分是怎样?摆明歧视日本投手是不是?

这样估代表说FG认为他砲管跟金河成、村上还有揉同级然后小输姜白虎所以我这两年看下来才觉得尼克羊问号

而且去年19岁就能完全压制日职打者 这样risk还能给high?拿Casey Mize跟Sasaki比根本在污辱人

记得BA是说先发投手速球均速97+mph就可以拿80分了 朗希不可能只有65吧?

老实说我觉得FG写报告的没啥再看球所以职业成绩比较少的 很多给的很离谱==

风之孙这分数根本笑话 朗希那么低更是

他上一场均速甚至超过99了吧 不管打者还是投手升联盟BB/K大多都会变烂 因为对手更强你只能投更闪/摸不到球Hit tool对打者新秀来说就是最重要的 有Hit tool就比较有可能转换出Game power

Hit70很扯

这应该是去年评价吧 这年纪每年都进步很正常应该说评价去年的成绩

年轻的速球让人害怕

江少庆FV剩35笑脸人的新秀hit tool给到70/80，现在在大联盟三场打率八割

速球居然只给65 真想看70-80分会给怎么样的速球

李政厚看到的评价都超高

佐佐木这样没百大? 李政厚不知道为啥评价一直很好....

投球机制是指高抬腿的部分吗

李政厚就是弱化版秋山还能那么高是几个意思

Fangraphs 就韩国人在经营的吧 还有韩文

70分速球看红人队Greene

不知道Fangraphs上面那些排他前面的投手来投日职一季成绩会是如何