[专栏] Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

楼主: autechre (autechre)   2018-03-24 02:36:52
随便略译一下,
出处: dean on draft https://tinyurl.com/ycar5qof
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is rising on draft boards, as the Kentucky point
guard has ascended to #14 in ESPN’s top 100 with his hot recent play. He is
currently rated as the #3 PG in the class behind Collin Sexton (#8) and Trae
Young (#9).
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander近来窜起,在ESPN榜上仅次Sexton与Trae Young
Shai’s main selling point is that he is a lead guard who can create for
himself and others while defending multiple NBA positions, as he is 6’6〃
with a 7’0〃 wingspan. His primary concerns are average athleticism and
limited shooting range, as these arguably prevent him from being more than an
intriguing role player. Let’s explore the nuances of his game to determine
which side carries more gravity.
Shai的的卖点是一个能制造自己与队友的机会并同时防守多个NBA位置的lead guard(也就
是不管是SG还PG总之球就是在他手里,想想James Harden),他有6'6与7呎的臂展。他主要
的问题是平凡的体能与有限的射程,大概就是这些因素让他看来不过是个有吸引力的角色
球员。
Can Shai run an NBA offense?
Shai能执行NBA进攻吗?
The most significant anti-Shai point is he is an average athlete posting a
mere 23% usage rate. There is no public narrative that he could be an elite
point guard, as he is not even in the conversation as best PG in the class
with Trae Young and Collin Sexton.
最主要的反面看法是Shai是一个使用率仅23%的平凡球员。没什么人觉得他可以成为精英
控卫,毕竟在谈到今年这轮时根本就不会把他跟Trae Young和Sexton相提并论嘛
But his recent performance suggests that he may have more lead guard
potential than common narratives suggest. After carrying a 22% usage rate for
the first 29 games, it has spiked to 27% in the past 7 and the results have
been excellent (stats are per 40 minutes):
但是他近来表现显示比起舆论看法他似乎更有做为lead guard的潜力。前29场比赛使用率
22%后近七场赛事提升到了27%而且结果不错
FGA FTA 2P% AST TOV
First 29 gms 11.9 4.6 49.4% 5.8 3.2
Last 7 gms 13.0 8.2 54.9% 7.2 2.9
He is clearly performing at a different level than early in the season. And
this is in spite of a slightly tougher average defense over the recent span
than the earlier one.
显然Shai比起赛季初期,表现的像是另一个级别,且这是在比较硬的赛程表下达到的。
And it’s not just Shai– the entire Kentucky offense has completely
transformed with his emergence:
而不只是Shai,整个肯塔基进攻在他爆发后都改观了
2P% 3P% TOV% Pts/Poss
First 29 50.9% 34.3% 19.1% 1.082
Last 7 53.2% 42.5% 15.5% 1.189
Kentucky is clearly a different beast from early in the season. They are an
incredibly young team that was a dumpster fire for most of the regular
season, and this obscured much of Shai’s goodness.
肯塔基跟开季相比像是另一只球队。他们是只天赋异禀的年轻球队只不过常规赛大多数时
候都是场灾难,而这掩盖了Shai的优点。
Now that the Wildcats have found their groove with Shai leading the way, they
are performing as efficiently as any Calipari offense is capable. This offers
a good argument that Shai has the IQ to run an efficient offense, and that
his early season performance vastly undersells his upside on this end.
既然野猫在Shai领导下找到了节奏,他们表现不下任何Calipari球队的进攻水准。与早先
赛季相反,这支持了Shai有足IQ去有效率地带动进攻这样的看法。
How Will This Performance Translate?
表现转换到NBA会如何?
There are inevitably doubts that a non-elite athlete can translate scoring
from NCAA to the NBA. But it could translate well, as Shai has an elite
euro-step to compensate for his average athleticism. He is incredibly shifty
and is deft at stepping his way around defenders to atone for his inability
to explode past them.
无可讳言一个非精英级别运动天赋能否能转换得分能力到NBA是有争议的。但这是有可能
且不错地转换的,因为Shai有杰出的欧洲步去抵消他一般般的体能。他非常机智且在面
对防守者时相当灵巧,弥补了爆发力的不足。
In this regard he is similar to James Harden who is also an average athlete
that has thrived on dimensions, instincts, skill, and outlier coordination.
Shai is clearly an inferior prospect to Harden, as he is a clearly much worse
shooter and likely has other nuanced disadvantages. But Harden was considered
a clearly inferior prospect to the more athletic Blake Griffin, and even
Hasheem Thabeet was taken ahead of him due to athleticism concerns.
就这个面向来说,他有点像James Harden一样体能平凡但是凭借著尺寸、本能、技巧与少
见的协调性仍然发光发热。当然Shai没Harden那么好,除了投篮差很大其它面向多少也有
些微差距。但是Harden曾被认为相对于体能更劲爆的Blake Griffin来说是比较差的
prospect,而且甚至连Thabeet都因此选秀顺位比他还高。
Dejounte Murray is another average athlete who appears to be a late 1st steal
due to good dimensions and shake. I rated Murray as a lottery pick at the
time, and perceive Shai as superior.
Dejounte Murray是另外一个一般体能的好例子,我那时评定Murray是乐透,而且认为
Shai要更棒。
The tall, long, and shifty lead guard mold is rare, but Murray and Harden
show that it is a type that has been wildly underrated in the past. This may
be a signal that it is underrated once again with Shai.
又长又高且狡诈的lead guard是少见的,但Murray与Harden告诉我们这种类型在过去被严
重低估了。有可能这次Shai也被低估了。
Defense
防守
Shai is not a lockdown defensive player at this stage, but his potential is
clear. His dimensions and solid quickness give him potential to switch onto
multiple positions. Also he has shown ability to use his length to make plays
on D– here is how his steal, block, and rebound rates stack up vs other
Kentucky guard prospects under Calipari:
Shai目前还不是一个大锁,但潜力是明显的。他的尺寸与敏捷性让他能换防多个位置。他
也运用这些优势在防守上,比较一下同在Calipari手下打球的前辈:
ORB% DRB% BLK% STL%
Shai 3.1 10.1 1.7 2.9
John Wall 2.6 10.2 1.5 2.9
De’Aaron Fox 2.1 12.2 0.7 2.7
Eric Bledsoe 1.9 8.6 1.1 2.6
Tyler Ulis 1.7 7.1 0.3 2.3
Archie Goodwin 5.6 10.4 1.4 2.1
Andrew Harrison 2.4 8.1 0.8 1.7
Marquis Teague 1.6 6.7 0.8 1.7
Malik Monk 1.1 7.2 1.5 1.6
Jamal Murray 4.9 11.1 0.9 1.6
Devin Booker 2.6 7.8 0.3 1.3
Brandon Knight 2.1 10.4 0.6 1.1
His rates are nearly identical to John Wall. Although Shai is not nearly as
explosive as Wall, his other advantages help compensate. No other Kentucky
guard prospect matches Shai’s steals and blocks, and nobody outrebounds him
by a significant margin. There is a good argument to be made that he has as
much defensive potential as any Kentucky guard prospect in recent memory.
Shai的数字跟John Wall没两样。虽然Shai不像Wall那样体能劲爆,但其它优势弥补回来。
没有其他肯塔基后卫有Shai的抄截与封盖数字,也没有哪个后卫在篮板上遥遥领先Shai。
照这个论点Shai起码跟近来的肯塔基后卫有着等量的防守潜力。
There is no guarantee that Shai will be a positive defensive player, but he
has clearly attractive upside on this end.
没有保证Shai的净防守输出会是正的,但他无疑有着具吸引力的天赋
Summary
总结
At a glance, it is not obvious that Shai has two way potential. He is not a
super athlete, he doesn’t score a boatload of points, he is not considered
an elite passer, he is prone to getting beat on defense, and he is not a
reliable 3 point shooter. Thus it is understandable why he has yet to garner
top 10 attention.
匆匆一瞥,Shai是否有攻防潜力不太明显。他没有超人体能,也没有得一卡车的分数,
他也不被认为是一流的传球者,他常在防守上被击倒,三分也不稳。因此可以理解为何
没有得到前10评价的观注
But when he is given a closer look, he is dripping with two way upside. His
length and coordination give him slashing potential, Kentucky’s recent
offensive performance shows his playmaking potential, his defensive stats and
length show his defensive potential, and the only significant concern is his
shooting. But even that has hope between his 81.5% FT and 71st percentile off
the dribble shooting per synergy.
但仔细看,他流露出攻防的天赋。他的长度与协调性让他有切入的潜力,肯塔基近来攻进
表现显示了他发起进攻的能力,而防守数据亦然,唯一但问题是他的投篮,但想想他81.5%
的罚球命中率与71位的运球间投篮,看起来还是有希望。
There are enough questions to rule him out as a possible top 3 selection, but
there are enough answers to arguably give him as much upside as anybody once
Doncic, Jackson, and Ayton are off the board.
有足够的问题可以把他赶出前3顺位,但也有足够的答案回应,一旦Doncic、Jackson与
Ayton被选走后,他与其余人选在天赋上不相上下。
If nothing else he should be in the conversation for best point guard
prospect in the class. It would be an unequivocal error to draft Collin
Sexton ahead of him. Sexton is more athletic and talented at scoring, but is
too small and one dimensional to have as much upside as Shai and has
significantly more bust risk.
没有意外的话他应该在本届最佳控卫的讨论中。如果Sexton比他先被选中那无疑会是个错
误。Sexton体能与得分天赋更好,但比起Shai太小只又单一面向因此更有可能是水货。
It’s not as clear who is superior between Shai and Trae Young, as Trae is
too weird to assess with high confidence. But almost every guard with Trae’s
physical tools outside of Steph has failed, and Shai is about as likely to be
Harden as Trae is to be Steph. Shai at least has the success of Dejounte
Murray to suggest a solid floor without the best possible NBA translation and
development, which is a good reason to give him the edge.
Shai与Young谁更出色就不明确了,因为Young太怪异而难以评估。但几乎每一个有着Young
身体条件的后卫,除了Curry外都失败了,且Shai之于Harden大概就跟Young之于Curry一样
Shai起码有Dejounte Murray的成功例子去推测没有最好NBA转换与发展的下限状况,
这是觉得Shai有优势的好理由。
In my eyes Shai has cemented himself as a clear top 10 pick. It will be
interesting to see if he can continue his recent level of play into the Sweet
16, but as of now I’d rate him as the #1 PG in the class with a solid case
for a top 5 selection.
就我看来Shai牢牢的将自己锁定在前10顺位,看他能不能持续近来水准的表现到甜蜜16强
是蛮有趣的(已经被kansas st.击败),但就现在而言我评价他是本届第一控卫且是扎实的
前5选择之一。
作者: forever920fv (7916521523)   2018-03-24 02:44:00
感谢介绍,我猜黄蜂会选到我觉得吹羊比较适合魔术,这只比较适合黄蜂Monk被黄蜂选上的当下我已经崩溃了QQ当时没想到Monk会掉到这么后面

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