Randal Grichuk: A rookie in need of recognition
by Randy Holt
The St. Louis Cardinals as an organization, as well as their fans, have an
overwhelmingly impressive penchant for claiming that they’re disrespected in
some form or fashion. Is that the case in reality? Of course not. In regard to
Randal Grichuk, however, we might have a case of some disrespect, at least to a
certain extent.
圣路易红雀和他们的球迷常常主张他们没受到应有的尊重.他们真的没受到尊重吗？当然有
受到尊重.但当我们谈到Randal Grichuk,一定的程度上他的确没受到应有的尊重.
Grichuk has logged some time at the big league level, including 47 games during
the regular season in 2014, but he still qualified as a rookie heading into
this 2015 campaign. He’s latched onto a spot in the outfield, thanks to a
multitude of injuries, and hasn’t looked back.
Grichuk已经在大联盟出赛一段时间了,2014年出赛47场,但他仍然在2015保持菜鸟资格.因
为一连串的伤兵Grichuk抓住了外野的席位,然后就看不到他的车尾灯了.
On the season, Grichuk has gone for a slash line of .292/.341/.581/.922. He’s
been a well above average hitter through his first 273 plate appearances, as
indicated by his 152 wRC+. With 13 homers, 20 doubles, and seven triples, he’s
gone for a terrific .289 ISO. His strikeout rate has eclipsed 30%, but that
falls in line with many of the top rookies throughout the league.
Grichuk今年的打击三围是.292/.341/.581/.922.他的前273个PA告诉我们他是远高于平均
的打者,有着152wRC+.13只长球,20只二垒安打,7只三垒安打(联盟no.2),Grichuk有着夸张
的ISO(.289).虽然他的被三振率高过30%,但这是很多顶级菜鸟会有的数据.
Grichuk has made linedrive contact at a solid 19.2% of the time, with a hard
hit ball percentage up over 37%. He hacks and misses at a lot of pitches, with
a SwStr% of 15.5 for the year, and you’d like to see more contact (probably an
understatement), given that he’s making contact at an overall rate of just 70%
thus far, but when he’s making contact, he’s making things happen. His
ability to hit the ball hard and maintain that solid LD% is helping him to
maintain that absurdly high .386 BABIP.
Grichuk的平飞球率是不错的19.2%,强劲球的比率则提升到37%.他很容易挥空,有着15.5%的
SwStr%(挥空率),他只打到70%多点的球(你会希望看到他多制造contact),但当他打到球,他
能让好事发生.他强劲的把球打出去的能力和制造平飞的能力使他有着神高的BAbip(.386).
Additionally, he’s been a very solid fielder for the Cards this season. He’s
made 39 Out of Zone plays and has posted six Defensive Runs Saved in logging
significant time at all three outfield spots. His overall UZR per 150 games is
at 6.2, with defensive metrics pointing to right field as his only negative
value in the field.
此外,Grichuk还是个不错的防守者.他完成了39个防守区之内的守备,守下六分,这还是在三
个位子都守了蛮多时间下完成的.他的整体UZR/150是6.2,防守数据指出他只有在右外野的
防守价值是负的.
All of this culminates in a 3.0 WAR to this point, which has him third behind
Major League rookies, trailing only Matt Duffy and Kris Bryant. Though logging
time in about 20 less games than each of them, he trails Bryant by only one
home run and sports a higher wRC+ and a higher wOBA than both of the league’s
top rookies, according to WAR.
这些累积成3.0的WAR,这使他在联盟菜鸟里只落后Matt Duffy和Kris Bryant.虽然少打了二
十场,他只落后老大Bryant一只全垒打,wRC+和wOBA也比两个联盟顶尖菜鸟高.
Now we don’t necessarily know how Matt Duffy projects long-term, but it’s
probably easy to declare that Kris Bryant will be a better player over the
course of their respective careers. Even so, Grichuk has managed to give each
of them a run for their money, as well as eclipsing Joc Pederson, also a
contender for the NL Rookie of the Year Award in WAR.
虽然我们不太知道Matt Duffy未来会长成什么样子,应该不难预测Kris Bryant会是这之中
发展比较好的人.就算如此,Grichuk会是竞争2015国联最佳菜鸟的强力人选,使Joc
Pederson都黯然失色.
Of course, it’s important to note that he could be in line for a regression.
Even in making hard contact as regularly as he is, a .386 BABIP is almost
impossible to maintain. This is especially true when you consider the fact that
he’s making contact at the ninth lowest rate among Major League rookies.
Nonetheless, it’s hard not to be impressed with what he’s put up on the stat
sheet thus far during the 2015 season.
必须要提醒一点就是Grichuk的成绩可能会修正.就算他能一直强劲的击球,.386BAbip是几
乎不可能维持的.当你考量他的contact率在联盟菜鸟中倒数第九,这更可能发生.尽管如此,
Grichuk的2015球季,在数据上依然是令人眼睛为之一亮的.
Even with a lack of recognition, it’s impossible to argue the fact that Randal
Grichuk has established himself as a premier rookie in this league. A
regression is likely on its way at some point, given the outlandish BABIP and
lack of regular contact, as well as that high strikeout rate, but to be right
in the mix with the likes of Bryant, Duffy, and Pedersen in terms of WAR and
beyond makes Grichuk one of the higher quality rookies of 2015, even with the
lower recognition than many others throughout the league.
虽然认可不多,很难去争执Randal Grichuk是顶级菜鸟的事实.过高的BAbip和不能持续制造
contact再加上高三振率,退步可能会出现.虽然认可比不上Duffy,Bryant,Pederson,但能和
Duffy,Bryant还有Pederson在WAR上不相上下,Grichuk应该被归类在联盟中好于其他人的菜
鸟.