Just two days ago, Bradley Woodrum reviewed the remaining catchers on the free
agent market along with the teams looking to sign a catcher. He concluded that
there were four starting catchers available for seven jobs. Now it's three
catchers for six jobs after the New York Yankees signed Brian McCann to a
five-year contract yesterday. And Kudos to Woodrum for predicting this signing
in his article.
才两天以前，Bradley Woodrum看了看自由市场上现有的捕手与欲签捕手的球队，他总结有
四个先发捕手对应到七只球队，而在洋基以五年约签下McCann后就变成三对六了。
This is what we know of the deal thus far. It is a five-year contract worth $85
million that contains a no trade clause and some kind of vesting option for a
sixth season. Details on the option year are still unclear. If reached, the
option will bring the total value of the deal north of $100 million.
目前我们知道是85m/5Y，内含不交易条款，第六年的自动执行权(但细节尚不明)，如果一切
确定，总值应达100m
In many ways, this move is a match made in heaven. McCann is one of the best
defensive catchers in the league, he combines a good feel for the basics of the
position with excellent pitch framing skills. Per Woodrum's article, McCann's
saved 65 runs over the last three seasons via pitch framing. In addition to his
defensive reputation, McCann carries a loud bat that is typically 20 percent
above league average. That's not catcher average, it's league average.
不论从何角度看，这两者的结合宛如天作之合，McCann是联盟中守备数一数二好的捕手，拥
有绝佳捕手基本功跟移手套功力，根据Woodrum的文章，过去三季McCann靠移手套帮球队省
了65分，且除了守备的威望，他的打击也高于联盟平均20%，注意非捕手平均喔，是联盟打
者平均。
Steamer projects McCann to compile 3.6 WAR over 402 plate appearances. With the
designated hitter role now available to him, McCann may see as many as 600 plate
appearances (barring injury). If we're being thoroughly pessimistic, we can call
that 600 plate appearance projection about 3.5 WAR. Add another 1.5 WAR for
catching contributions not currently included, like framing, and McCann projects
as a roughly five WAR player in 2014.
McCann 402个打席有3.6WAR，现在到美联又能当指定打击，或许就能打到600打席了(不计受
伤的话)，如果我们想的保守一点，600打席约带来3.5WAR，另外1.5WAR则来自他的防守表现
，像是移手套，那2014他大概会有5WAR。
If we assume that the cost of a win will be around $6 million, then the Yankees
are paying for 14 wins over the guaranteed portion of the contract. While
catchers do tend to age more rapidly than other position players, McCann is
entering his age 30 season, so he's relatively young. At this point in his
career and given that we project him to about five wins in 2014, he may be able
to earn the entirety of the contract over the first three seasons.
如果我们假定一场胜利要花6m，那么洋基的这份合约就是想稳稳拿下14胜。捕手又比其他位
置老化得更快，但McCain才刚要进入30岁，所以他还算年轻。依他现阶段的表现推估他能贡
献5胜，所以他只要前三季正常表现就对得起这份合约了。
There is also the consideration of home stadium. McCann is a pull hitter and
drives most of his home runs out to right field. Per Fangraphs' own park factors
, McCann is moving from a stadium that is league average for left-handed home
runs (100 park factor) to one that inflates home runs by 14 percent (114 park
factor). Below is an overlay of the two stadiums.
球队主场也是一项因素，McCann是强力拉回的左打者，全垒打多坐落于右外野，根据
Fangraph的球场因素文章，McCann将从Turner field，这个对左打者联盟平均值(100)的球
场，转到Yankees stadium左打联盟平均值(114)，那下图是两个球场透明的覆蓋图(若要看
图示请点网址)
然后再来是他2013的落点分布图，你可以看到有多少颗能越过全垒打墙的外野警戒区飞球。
(也是请看网址)
This information is not accounted for in the earlier projection that we
discussed. Since McCann's offense game is particularly well tailored to his new
home park, it should mean that the Yankees will get an even greater return on
their investment.
这些资讯并不是要说明先前文章的讨论，而是从他过去的攻击是恰恰相容于Yankees
stadium，这也表示Yankees这项投资将获得更多的收益。
From the Yankees perspective, this deal may indicate a lesson learned. Last
offseason, the Yankees were attempting to cut costs and refused to offer Russell
Martin a reasonable, two-year contract. He eventually signed with the Pirates
and helped them reach the postseason for the first time since the height of the
Roman Empire 1992
洋基也在上个赛季学到教训，他们回绝Russell Martin很合理的两年约，结果他反倒帮助海
盗打入自1992年以来的季后赛。
Meanwhile, the Yankees received almost no offense from the four catchers they
employed and missed the postseason. It's worth noting that they missed the
postseason by more than just one good catcher, but that was one of the black
holes on the roster. Third base, shortstop, first base, right field, and
designated hitter were also varying degrees of terrible. Really, it's amazing
that they won 88 games, but I digress…
且上赛季洋基动用的四名捕手根本没有打击贡献，也让洋基没进季后赛，当然不只有捕手这
个洞，三垒、游击…..都有不同的严重程度，当然以此阵容拿下88胜很让人惊艳，但在讲下
去就离题了。
With McCann off the market, other clubs looking for starting catchers will have
to choose between Jarrod Saltalamacchia, A.J. Pierzynski, Dioner Navarro, and a
variety of backup quality options. Reds catcher Ryan Hanigan also remains
available on the trade market. The Red Sox are the most tangibly in need of a
catcher at this point.
随着McCann有了归宿，其他找捕手的球团只有在Salty、A.J. Pierzynski、Navarro与众多
候补中作选择，红人的 Ryan Hanigan目前还待价而沽。也可以想见红袜目前对捕手这个位
置也是最着急。
There is some speculation that the signing could affect negotiations with top
free agent Robinson Cano, but that strikes me as unlikely. With the paucity of
reliable catchers on the market, the Yankees needed to strike quickly to plug
that void. I have little doubt that they would have acquired McCann with or
without Cano.
有些推估说这个合约会影响到Cano，但我的直觉告诉我不太可能，因为市场上好捕手太少，
所以洋基才会急着动作。我倒是对有了McCann的洋基有或没有Cano的可能感到怀疑。
It feels as though this match was inevitable. The Yankees had every reason to
value McCann more highly than any other team. They have a hungry fan base that
supplies massive revenue, a dearth of quality internal options at the position,
and a home stadium that maximizes McCann's offensive potential. Of teams
interested in catchers, only the Rockies can match the Yankees on that latter
point, but they can't come close on the revenue side. All told, this deal smells
like a winner for both team and player.
感觉这个组合是必然会发生的，洋基过去每季都对McCann有高度评价，他们也拥有广大球迷
去支持收益，内部也没有合格人选顶上这位置，主场也适合McCann攻击习性，唯有落矶尚可
与洋基一搏，但收益上就差得远了，总和来说，球员与球队都是赢家。
新闻来源:
http://ppt.cc/jn55

我也相信公道伯能在全垒打满天飞的美东帮洋基守下更多分

但是他痛痛 能健康出赛多少场呢? 让我们继续看下去

光预估600PA+5WAR这篇就不用看了

封锁本垒板！

600PA...现在是血汗制吗...

稍微看了两张图，以今年的落点，如果换在洋基球场大概有 5球会变HR，有 2球在墙边

是哪个版的WAR.他今年值3.5的

5 WAR是额外加上手套尾劲的

McCann生涯没超过600PA过

何况近两年他真的不是很健康 明年又30了

McCann能力我觉得不用怀疑 接下来两三年内应该都不错问题是洋基现在在想什么实在看不太出来

只要不受大伤的话啦...职业球员常常旦夕祸福

想且战且走的话 Cano一定是第一要件

但是救球队角度来说先搞定这笔显得很莫名

ROooooooooSE!

就现有状态和线索来说各种臆测还满好生的

但结论就是现在推测再多都没用 我们都没内幕只能等了

WAR 应该是加了本垒板特殊技能

不过比起A-Rod.黑田或在自由市场的盘算等

Cano的factor还是比较有把握的 他留队的可能性很高

有算到防守全垒打的价值么

原来是美国高志纲

老爹小心了 跑太慢别想踩到本垒板

公道伯打得赢老爹吗XD

有包含本垒板讲座的钟点费吗

也许早就把目标放后年了 明年躲过高税率后年又海阔天空

FA的捕手McCann这种等级和年纪可遇不可求 未来几年农场无人可升 到时真的想拼 FA反而找不到好捕手时 才窘吧

话说gary Sanchez去那了?

美东的本垒板该小心点了

Sanchez还在MiLB

公道伯没有战斧灵气还敢主持公道吗

Sanchez离ready还远呢..

G.Sanchez连一个AA的完整球季都还没有

没灵气没关系 有纽约客就够了，准备进场看好戏

Gary Sanchez哪有卡关

20岁在2A算早了

守备数一数二好 - -???

洋基过去每季都对McCann有高度评价 把reason 看成season了

唔 看了他四五年忽略了他的年纪了

到底是哪版的WAR给到3.6 FG也才给2.7而已 BR 2.2

预测吧

移手套!! 不愧是美国高志纲

Steamer "projects"

重点是Steamer吧?!

重点是!!!!守备的威望!!!!

捕手的养成曲线一向很特别 而且攻击型捕手折损率很高

29岁前能蹲1000场的捕手不多，而这群很耐操的捕手

在29岁后能再蹲500场的剩不到三分之一

反正在惨，也没这季惨 这就是洋基要的!

从跑垒速度的衰退来看，McCANN捕手生涯应该快结束了

翻译很通畅，辛苦&感谢! ps.倒数第二段最后应翻成

不管有没有签下Cano，Yankees都无疑会争取MaCann加盟

守备的威望!!!!!!!!!!!!!

对这只守备印象是不大好阿

为了做出三年就值这约的假设去凑的吧

公道伯强强强洋基赚赚赚

受伤爽爽赚

公道

期待红袜签下AJP，这样基袜大咒就会从“本垒攻防战”开始

600PA不是说他在美联可以兼差打DH来估算的吗

600PA就算兼差DH也要健康才行 何况DH一堆人排队

全联盟也就37个满600PA的.要期望刚伤愈的C 能做这个..

基基就是要砲管 其他次要

本垒守护者

Joe Mauer也是攻击型捕手

所以双城让他转1B 就是因为要延长他的运动生命何况Mauer的防守要比McCann好一截

猫儿是要跟Posey比的 跟公道伯比是小看他

猫儿自从脑震荡后，能不能蹲....还是个问题...

这是不是有点太乐观了？