楼主:
Homura (虎斑街猫˙Rebirth)
2012-08-16 00:57:33http://www.baseballprospectus.com/odds/
双外卡新制实行的第一年，到目前为止的playoff odds~
Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct
NYY .581 96.0 66.0 97.1% 2.5% 99.6%
TBR .529 86.6 75.4 2.5% 53.1% 55.6%
BAL .427 82.3 79.7 0.2% 11.1% 11.3%
BOS .536 80.6 81.4 0.2% 5.7% 5.9%
TOR .453 75.6 86.4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct
CHW .548 88.9 73.1 61.2% 22.3% 83.5%
DET .546 87.8 74.2 38.7% 32.7% 71.4%
CLE .469 74.9 87.1 0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
MIN .436 69.9 92.1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
KCR .424 69.4 92.6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct
TEX .586 94.9 67.1 94.0% 5.2% 99.2%
LAA .566 86.3 75.7 5.0% 49.8% 54.8%
OAK .474 82.9 79.1 1.0% 17.4% 18.4%
SEA .446 74.0 88.0 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct
WAS .571 97.6 64.4 80.8% 18.6% 99.4%
ATL .560 92.7 69.3 19.2% 69.8% 89.0%
NYM .506 78.9 83.1 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
PHI .503 76.8 85.2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
MIA .412 70.3 91.7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct
CIN .553 95.9 66.1 89.8% 7.9% 97.7%
STL .584 89.6 72.4 8.0% 54.0% 62.0%
PIT .507 87.5 74.5 2.2% 33.3% 35.5%
CHC .399 64.4 97.6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
MIL .513 76.0 86.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
HOU .372 55.4 106.6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct
SFG .545 88.6 73.4 53.2% 7.3% 60.5%
LAD .525 87.1 74.9 36.4% 6.6% 43.0%
ARI .539 83.6 78.4 10.4% 2.4% 12.8%
COL .425 63.8 98.2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SDP .466 71.9 90.1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
作者:
glthe1 (源千华流)
2012-08-16 01:00:00CUB 0.0%记得开季的时候PHI不是这样的
作者:
farst (虹彩妹妹很high唷~)
2012-08-16 01:01:00wc pct是?
作者:
yamatai (回避性人格障碍症)
2012-08-16 01:02:00WILD CARD
作者: JACKIAM (我是杰克) 2012-08-16 01:03:00
胜率 和胜负场数对不太起来= =
金莺被预测胜率比较低，可是为什么季后赛机率较红袜高@@?
作者:
Herlin (性感猪猪)
2012-08-16 01:09:00我猜他的expected winning pct 是预测余下比赛的胜率
作者:
Herlin (性感猪猪)
2012-08-16 01:11:00大概类似Pythagorean 由得失分推测之类
我觉得expected winning%是球季开打前估算的
作者:
Sechslee (ï½·ï¾€â”â”(ﾟ∀ﾟ)â”â”!!)
2012-08-16 01:13:00不可能 谁球季开打前会给PHI估.503
作者:
Herlin (性感猪猪)
2012-08-16 01:17:00BAL 会.427 是因为现在它得分还比失分少..
作者:
mrkey (è·é›¢å¤ªé æ€å¿µå¤ªè¿‘)
2012-08-16 01:32:00有谁有去年9/1的 playoff odds?
作者:
lookers (实体店面 货到付款 宅配)
2012-08-16 01:47:00有去年红袜的前车之鉴之后...
作者:
kee32 (终于毕业了)
2012-08-16 01:51:00可以直接教我们怎么押保证赚吗?(<--求明牌推文)
作者:
KusoPvt (先说好别打脸)
2012-08-16 04:28:00天使补成这样要是没进真的很闷XD
作者:
nolander (自己国家自己救)
2012-08-16 10:06:00真要说的话 条子没进才是真的会干到死...
作者:
chiky (.......................)
2012-08-16 10:36:00去年这时候光芒根本还看不到红袜的车尾灯~ 差了快十场胜差吧