http://www.baseballprospectus.com/odds/
Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct
BOS .576 95.9 66.1 61.5% 33.5% 95.0%
NYY .567 93.9 68.1 36.6% 51.9% 88.5%
TBR .510 86.0 76.0 1.9% 11.8% 13.7%
BAL .497 76.5 85.5 0.0% 0.3% 0.3%
TOR .443 76.3 85.7 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct
DET .523 86.5 75.5 65.8% 0.6% 66.4%
CWS .498 81.9 80.1 20.0% 0.7% 20.7%
CLE .465 80.5 81.5 12.5% 0.6% 13.1%
MIN .505 75.7 86.3 1.7% 0.1% 1.8%
KCR .397 66.3 95.7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct
TEX .528 85.3 76.7 72.5% 0.1% 72.6%
LAA .459 78.6 83.4 12.6% 0.1% 12.8%
OAK .509 78.7 83.3 11.7% 0.1% 11.9%
SEA .465 75.4 86.6 3.1% 0.1% 3.2%
Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct
PHI .556 93.7 68.3 74.7% 17.7% 92.4%
ATL .559 89.4 72.6 24.6% 43.2% 67.8%
NYM .470 79.4 82.6 0.5% 2.1% 2.6%
FLA .515 77.2 84.8 0.1% 0.7% 0.8%
WAS .435 76.7 85.3 0.1% 0.5% 0.7%
Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct
MIL .530 87.8 74.2 55.8% 6.4% 62.2%
STL .541 85.7 76.3 28.9% 9.2% 38.1%
CIN .526 83.3 78.7 14.2% 5.3% 19.5%
PIT .428 76.9 85.1 1.0% 0.4% 1.3%
CHC .476 73.2 88.8 0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
HOU .406 61.0 101.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct
SFG .531 92.0 70.0 88.9% 2.2% 91.1%
COL .536 82.4 79.6 6.2% 6.2% 12.4%
ARI .465 80.8 81.2 3.1% 3.5% 6.6%
LAD .482 79.7 82.3 1.8% 2.5% 4.2%
SD .487 73.1 88.9 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
Expected Win Pct - 预期胜率
Sim Win - 模拟胜场数
Sim Loss - 模拟败场数
Div Pct - 分区冠军机率
WC Pct - 外卡机率
Playoff Pct - 季后赛机率
有两队被认为已经放寒假去了 - -