刚刚稍微查了一下各国人口跟染疫人数
跟我们比较相近的国家染疫机率大概 0.05%~1.05%
如果够注意一点其实中标机率应该是不太高
基本上够认真把自己封锁的话
中标率应该可以压在千分之一以内
台湾相近国家
country rate cases deaths population
新加坡 1.05% 61585 31 5850342
日本 0.54% 685131 11471 126476461
韩国 0.26% 131671 1900 51269185
新西兰 0.05% 2646 26 4822233
Taiwan* 0.01% 1682 12 23816775
全部的LIST
country rate cases deaths population
Andorra 17.49% 13510 127 77265
Montenegro 15.74% 98852 1561 628066
Czechia 15.43% 1652840 29901 10708981
San 14.98% 5083 90 33931
Slovenia 11.99% 249310 4324 2078938
Bahrain 11.70% 199093 737 1701575
Luxembourg 11.01% 68922 806 625978
Sweden 10.27% 1037126 14275 10099265
US 9.95% 32939799 585960 331002651
Lithuania 9.75% 265536 4103 2722289
Israel 9.69% 839119 6382 8655535
Estonia 9.58% 127053 1222 1326535
Netherlands 9.48% 1625138 17716 17134872
Seychelles 9.34% 9184 32 98347
France 9.10% 5939019 107777 65273511
Belgium 8.89% 1030071 24686 11589623
Panama 8.59% 370533 6296 4314767
Croatia 8.54% 350390 7708 4105267
Georgia 8.28% 330375 4442 3989167
Hungary 8.26% 798147 29175 9660351
Portugal 8.26% 842182 17007 10196709
Maldives 8.24% 44523 97 540544
Serbia 8.09% 706458 6681 8737371
Switzerland 7.85% 679510 10731 8654622
Lebanon 7.85% 535753 7620 6825445
Liechtenstein 7.83% 2985 58 38128
Spain 7.71% 3604799 79339 46754778
Poland 7.54% 2854079 71664 37846611
Armenia 7.45% 220860 4323 2963243
North 7.43% 154698 5211 2083374
Qatar 7.40% 213183 530 2881053
Brazil 7.35% 15627243 435751 212559417
Argentina 7.32% 3307285 70522 45195774
Slovakia 7.10% 387523 12224 5459642
Jordan 7.10% 724154 9259 10203134
Austria 7.07% 637097 10474 9006398
Malta 6.90% 30480 417 441543
Italy 6.88% 4159122 124156 60461826
Uruguay 6.85% 238079 3419 3473730
Kuwait 6.81% 290801 1687 4270571
Latvia 6.78% 127978 2266 1886198
Chile 6.73% 1286548 27832 19116201
United 6.58% 4466589 127941 67886011
Monaco 6.35% 2493 32 39242
Moldova 6.29% 253845 6027 4033963
Bosnia 6.16% 202143 8981 3280819
Colombia 6.13% 3118426 81300 50882891
Turkey 6.07% 5117374 44760 84339067
Bulgaria 5.96% 414192 17259 6948445
Cyprus 5.87% 70899 346 1207359
Peru 5.72% 1884596 65911 32971854
Romania 5.57% 1071899 29523 19237691
Costa 5.55% 282741 3547 5094118
United 5.52% 546182 1631 9890402
Ireland 5.16% 254870 4941 4937786
Ukraine 5.05% 2210375 50019 43733762
Cabo 5.03% 27951 246 555987
Denmark 4.61% 267204 2503 5792202
Albania 4.59% 132015 2432 2877797
Paraguay 4.37% 311746 7534 7132538
Germany 4.30% 3602939 86116 83783942
Oman 4.02% 205511 2193 5106626
Belarus 3.98% 376341 2701 9449323
Greece 3.62% 377090 11415 10423054
Canada 3.54% 1335782 24904 37742154
Holy 3.37% 27 0 801
Russia 3.35% 4883734 113927 145934462
Iran 3.28% 2751166 76936 83992949
Azerbaijan 3.25% 329843 4779 10139177
Belize 3.20% 12714 323 397628
Bolivia 2.84% 331516 13493 11673021
Iraq 2.83% 1139373 15954 40222493
Bahamas 2.80% 11024 216 393244
Tunisia 2.76% 326572 11849 11818619
South 2.72% 1613728 55210 59308690
Libya 2.64% 181179 3085 6871292
Saint 2.62% 4818 75 183627
Dominican 2.56% 277188 3582 10847910
Ecuador 2.32% 410129 19699 17643054
Honduras 2.28% 225964 5954 9904607
Norway 2.20% 119186 774 5421241
Kazakhstan 2.20% 412236 3394 18776707
Botswana 2.11% 49656 761 2351627
Suriname 2.02% 11828 224 586632
Namibia 2.01% 51113 710 2540905
Guyana 1.93% 15168 338 786552
Iceland 1.92% 6537 29 341243
Mexico 1.85% 2380690 220384 128932753
India 1.79% 24684077 270284 1380004385
Finland 1.63% 90105 931 5540720
Jamaica 1.60% 47319 860 2961167
Eswatini 1.60% 18519 671 1160164
Nepal 1.56% 455020 5001 29136808
Kyrgyzstan 1.54% 100473 1703 6524195
Mongolia 1.48% 48642 207 3278290
Malaysia 1.45% 470110 1902 32365999
Morocco 1.40% 514944 9098 36910560
Barbados 1.38% 3965 46 287375
Guatemala 1.35% 241369 7887 17915568
Antigua 1.27% 1241 33 97929
Saudi 1.24% 433094 7162 34813871
Trinidad 1.16% 16255 285 1399488
Djibouti 1.16% 11434 151 988000
El 1.10% 71479 2187 6486205
Cuba 1.10% 124454 804 11326616
Gabon 1.07% 23799 143 2225734
Singapore 1.05% 61585 31 5850342
Philippines 1.04% 1143963 19191 109581078
Venezuela 0.75% 214231 2382 28435940
Sri 0.67% 142746 941 21413249
Indonesia 0.64% 1739750 48093 273523615
Equatorial 0.55% 7694 112 1402985
Japan 0.54% 685131 11471 126476461
Lesotho 0.50% 10790 320 2142249
Zambia 0.50% 92409 1260 18383955
Bangladesh 0.47% 780159 12149 164689383
Comoros 0.44% 3863 146 869601
Mauritania 0.40% 18806 457 4649658
Pakistan 0.40% 877130 19543 220892340
Timor 0.34% 4458 10 1318445
Kenya 0.31% 165465 3003 53771296
Ghana 0.30% 93243 783 31072940
Uzbekistan 0.29% 96670 668 33469203
Algeria 0.29% 125311 3374 43851044
Cameroon 0.28% 74946 1152 26545863
Burma 0.26% 143065 3212 54409800
Zimbabwe 0.26% 38560 1582 14862924
Korea 0.26% 131671 1900 51269185
Dominica 0.25% 178 0 71986
Gambia 0.25% 5940 175 2416668
Senegal 0.24% 40850 1125 16743927
Egypt 0.24% 244520 14269 102334404
Ethiopia 0.23% 266264 3996 114963588
Mozambique 0.23% 70410 826 31255435
Rwanda 0.20% 26141 344 12952218
Guinea 0.19% 3746 67 1968001
Malawi 0.18% 34210 1153 19129952
Guinea 0.17% 22746 151 13132795
Bhutan 0.17% 1286 1 771608
Afghanistan 0.16% 63484 2742 38928346
Togo 0.16% 13275 125 8278724
Papua 0.15% 13707 136 8947024
Thailand 0.15% 101447 589 69799978
Madagascar 0.14% 40141 763 27691018
Grenada 0.14% 161 1 112523
Central 0.14% 6866 95 4829767
Tajikistan 0.14% 13308 90 9537645
Syria 0.14% 23738 1698 17500658
Cambodia 0.13% 22184 150 16718965
Australia 0.12% 29976 910 25499884
Haiti 0.12% 13393 271 11402528
Eritrea 0.11% 3844 12 3546421
Nicaragua 0.11% 7086 184 6624554
Mauritius 0.10% 1282 17 1271768
South 0.10% 10652 115 11193725
Uganda 0.09% 42779 347 45741007
Angola 0.09% 30354 655 32866272
Somalia 0.09% 14486 753 15893222
Nigeria 0.08% 165702 2066 206139589
Sudan 0.08% 34889 2446 43849260
Mali 0.07% 14190 511 20250833
Benin 0.07% 7995 101 12123200
Burkina 0.06% 13395 164 20903273
NewZealand 0.05% 2646 26 4822233
Brunei 0.05% 232 3 437479
Sierra 0.05% 4107 79 7976983
Liberia 0.04% 2114 85 5057681
Burundi 0.04% 4329 6 11890784
Chad 0.03% 4904 173 16425864
Niger 0.02% 5330 192 24206644
Yemen 0.02% 6543 1289 29825964
Laos 0.02% 1591 2 7275560
Fiji 0.02% 172 4 896445
China 0.01% 102725 4846 1439323776
Taiwan* 0.01% 1682 12 23816775
Marshall 0.01% 4 0 59190
Vietnam 0.00% 4175 36 97338579
Solomon 0.00% 20 0 686884
Samoa 0.00% 3 0 198414
Vanuatu 0.00% 4 1 307145
Tanzania 0.00% 509 21 59734218
Micronesia 0.00% 1 0 548914