今天官网在赛前算的
来源:https://www.mlb.com/news/shohei-ohtani-aaron-judge-triple-crown-chances
法官
对手只看BWJ,假设BWJ接下来全勤3场12打数,那整季会有641打数
法官应该会休一场(确实休了),假设剩下2场7打数(全季561)
法官要拿三冠王的状况有:
如果法官5安打 BWJ最多只能2安
如果法官4安打 BWJ最多只能1安
如果法官3安打 BWJ只能0安打
算法原文
‧ If Judge goes 5-for-7 (finishing at .3298) … he would win if Witt went no be
tter than 2-for-12 (finishing at .3292).
‧ If Judge goes 4-for-7 (finishing at .3280) … he would win if Witt went no be
tter than 1-for-12 (finishing at .3276).
‧ If Judge goes 3-for-7 (finishing at .3262) … he would win if Witt went 0-for
-12 (finishing at .3261).