※ 引述《polanco》之铭言
: 原文：https://bit.ly/3Ph12pw
: Keith Law写的，只节录一部分
: Senga, 29, certainly looks the part of a potential No. 2 starter, with a fastb
al
: l that has hit triple digits and a probable out pitch in his splitter. He has
fo
: ur pitches, with a slider that earns grades from 40 to 55 from scouts and a cu
rv
: eball that at least looks like it could be an average weapon. He was very succ
es
: sful as a starter in Japan, finishing second in ERA in the Pacific League last
y
: ear, behind the best pitcher in Japan in Yoshinobu Yamamoto, while finishing t
hi
: rd in strikeouts. He walked more batters than the league average for all pitch
er
: s, at 8.6 percent, which feeds into scouts’ concerns about his command not be
in
: g good enough to work as a starter in MLB even with such premium stuff.
: Other scouts questioned whether his slight build would hold up in an MLB rotat
io
: n, and whether he had the feel for his pitches or intensity to handle turning
ov
: er deeper MLB lineups two or three times per start. As you might infer, there’
s
: a very wide range of opinions on his likely role in MLB, from mid-rotation sta
r
: ter to someone who has to move to the bullpen and be primarily a two-pitch rel
ie
: ver with his fastball and splitter.
: 轮值2号潜力，四种球路：最快达到三位数字的速球、可能可以当out pitch的指叉球、球
探
: 们意见分歧（评分从40分到55分）的滑球、看起来至少有平均水准的曲球，在日本有着非
常
: 成功的先发投手生涯
: 球探疑虑：command能力是否有好到能在大联盟担任先发投手、单薄的身材能否承担轮值的
: 工作量、能否维持住投球的感觉跟强度来应付水准更高的打线二到三次
: 对他未来角色的看法从轮值中段到移去牛棚当主要投两种球路的后援都有
: 大概是这样
: 另外Law最后几段还写了他对山本由伸的看法，直接比较千贺赢的只有身高，他认为山本有
: 机会当一号先发，而且没有千贺这些可能会转牛棚的缺陷
: 他推测如果山本现在就能竞标，大概可以拿到6年1.8亿左右（可能会被竞标费吃掉一点）
其实有点意外，千贺今年的日职成绩看起来就不是这个样子啊
https://bit.ly/3UMw2PA
球种 被打率 被打数 被安打 被本 被四死 夺三振 空振率 见逃率 使用率
直球 .259 212 55 4 28 38 6.71% 15.62% 44.46%
切球 .217 83 18 1 10 15 13.92% 17.47% 17.58%
指叉 .127 142 18 2 7 89 30.36% 5.36% 22.43%
曲球 .571 7 4 0 0 1 2.78% 13.89% 1.6%
滑球 .111 36 4 0 2 10 10.50% 26.05% 10.59%
伸卡 .375 8 3 0 0 1 6.90% 10.34% 1.29%
快伸 .125 8 1 0 2 2 15.22% 19.57% 2.05%
效果最好的是指叉球，不太意外
滑球比起挥空，更常出现的状况其实是看着不打
至于曲球....就别提了，有跟没有一样
比较好奇他的切球大联盟不喜欢吗？怎么看起来是都没有提到？