原文:https://bit.ly/3Ph12pw
Keith Law写的,只节录一部分
Senga, 29, certainly looks the part of a potential No. 2 starter, with a fastbal
l that has hit triple digits and a probable out pitch in his splitter. He has fo
ur pitches, with a slider that earns grades from 40 to 55 from scouts and a curv
eball that at least looks like it could be an average weapon. He was very succes
sful as a starter in Japan, finishing second in ERA in the Pacific League last y
ear, behind the best pitcher in Japan in Yoshinobu Yamamoto, while finishing thi
rd in strikeouts. He walked more batters than the league average for all pitcher
s, at 8.6 percent, which feeds into scouts’ concerns about his command not bein
g good enough to work as a starter in MLB even with such premium stuff.
Other scouts questioned whether his slight build would hold up in an MLB rotatio
n, and whether he had the feel for his pitches or intensity to handle turning ov
er deeper MLB lineups two or three times per start. As you might infer, there’s
a very wide range of opinions on his likely role in MLB, from mid-rotation star
ter to someone who has to move to the bullpen and be primarily a two-pitch relie
ver with his fastball and splitter.
轮值2号潜力,四种球路:最快达到三位数字的速球、可能可以当out pitch的指叉球、球探
们意见分歧(评分从40分到55分)的滑球、看起来至少有平均水准的曲球,在日本有着非常
成功的先发投手生涯
球探疑虑:command能力是否有好到能在大联盟担任先发投手、单薄的身材能否承担轮值的
工作量、能否维持住投球的感觉跟强度来应付水准更高的打线二到三次
对他未来角色的看法从轮值中段到移去牛棚当主要投两种球路的后援都有
大概是这样
另外Law最后几段还写了他对山本由伸的看法,直接比较千贺赢的只有身高,他认为山本有
机会当一号先发,而且没有千贺这些可能会转牛棚的缺陷
他推测如果山本现在就能竞标,大概可以拿到6年1.8亿左右(可能会被竞标费吃掉一点)